Coriano vs Pontedera: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone DGroup D - 5Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Coriano the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Pontedera. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Coriano vs Pontedera?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Coriano (1,645) and Pontedera (1,643).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Coriano have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Pontedera have 0, 5 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Crema(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| May 3, 2026 | Pro Palazzolo(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Piacenza(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Pistoiese(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Imolese(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Livorno(home) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Sambenedettese(away) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Ravenna(home) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Athletic Carpi(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Bra(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
How many goals should we expect?
Coriano score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Pontedera score 0.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coriano | 1.0 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Pontedera | 0.7 | 1.7 | 1 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Coriano | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 28 | 44 | 30 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Coriano vs Pontedera?
- The Footlab model makes Coriano the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Pontedera.
- Where and when is Coriano vs Pontedera played?
- Coriano vs Pontedera is played on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.