USD Casatese vs Varesina: result 4-2 and analysis
Serie D - Girone DGroup D - 5Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Campo Sportivo Comunale n.2, Casatenovo
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What was the result of USD Casatese vs Varesina?
USD Casatese won 4-2 on September 27, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 4′G. CitterioUSD Casatese
- 29′620884Varesina
- 40′683949USD Casatese
- 58′A. MasperoVaresina (pen.)
- 79′683949USD Casatese
- 90′G. MungariUSD Casatese
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a USD Casatese win at 47%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 4-2.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, USD Casatese have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Varesina have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Correggese(away) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sant'Angelo(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Solbiatese(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Arconatese(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| May 17, 2026 | Chievo(home) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Pistoiese(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Correggese(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sant'Angelo(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Cittadella Vis Modena(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| May 10, 2026 | Castellanzese(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 USD Casatese win, 2 draws, 3 Varesina wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | USD Casatese 0-1 Varesina | Serie D - Girone B |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Varesina 0-0 USD Casatese | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 17, 2025 | Varesina 2-3 USD Casatese | Serie D - Girone B |
| Dec 8, 2024 | USD Casatese 0-0 Varesina | Serie D - Girone B |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Varesina 4-1 USD Casatese | Serie D - Girone B |
| Oct 1, 2023 | USD Casatese 2-3 Varesina | Serie D - Girone B |
Last archived meeting: USD Casatese vs Varesina on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
USD Casatese score 1.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Varesina score 1.3 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD Casatese | 1.7 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Varesina | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
USD Casatese sit 6th in Serie D - Girone D (13 points from 7 matches) and Varesina sit 12th (6 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | USD Casatese | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 13 |
| 12 | Varesina | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 6 |
A question about USD Casatese vs Varesina?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy