Pavia vs Arconatese: result 1-1 and analysis
Serie D - Girone DGroup D - 5Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
Full time
What was the result of Pavia vs Arconatese?
Pavia and Arconatese drew 1-1 on September 27, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 6′582636Arconatese
- 86′A. RaballoPavia
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Pavia win at 49%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 1-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pavia have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Arconatese have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Sant'Angelo(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Solbiatese(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Crema(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Pisa(away) | 1-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Breno(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Pro Patria(home) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Pistoiese(away) | 0-5 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Correggese(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 6, 2026 | USD Casatese(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| May 4, 2025 | Breno(away) | 1-4 | Serie D - Girone B |
How many goals should we expect?
Pavia score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Arconatese score 0.9 and concede 2.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pavia | 0.9 | 0.9 | 9 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Arconatese | 0.9 | 2.1 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pavia sit 9th in Serie D - Girone D (8 points from 7 matches) and Arconatese sit 17th (3 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pavia | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 8 |
| 17 | Arconatese | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 3 |
A question about Pavia vs Arconatese?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy