Match

Cosenza vs Crotone: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone CGirone C - 34Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla, Cosenza

CosenzaCrotone

The Footlab AI model makes Cosenza the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Crotone. The most likely score is 1-1. If Cosenza wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cosenza vs Crotone?

A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Cosenza (1,687) and Crotone (1,723).

47%26%27%
Cosenza winDrawCrotone win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Cosenza vs Crotone

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Cosenza

4-2-3-1
  1. 17T. Petrovic
  1. 7E. McJannett
  2. 5N. Contiliano
  3. 23R. Palmieri
  4. 3E. Giannini
  5. 15A. D'Alena
  1. 26P. Dametto
  2. 33A. Dalmazzi
  3. 67G. Clemente
  4. 4Răzvan Bogdan Paşcalău
  1. 1M. Rizzo

Crotone

4-2-3-1
  1. 96M. Zunno
  1. 99F. Crapisto
  2. 80Filippo Grosso
  3. 31P. Rodriguez
  4. 5L. Russo
  5. 8I. Torres
  1. 13N. Armini
  2. 26G. Tanco
  3. 63A. Veltri
  4. 23F. Groppelli
  1. 1D. Merelli

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 12:46 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cosenza have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Crotone have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cosenza
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 12, 2026AZ Picerno(away)2-1Serie C - Girone C
Oct 4, 2026Foggia(home)0-2Serie C - Girone C
Sep 26, 2026Bari(away)0-1Serie C - Girone C
Sep 19, 2026Scafatese(home)1-1Serie C - Girone C
Sep 15, 2026Giugliano(away)2-5Serie C - Girone C
Crotone
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Audace Cerignola(home)2-3Serie C - Girone C
Oct 3, 2026Catania(away)1-2Serie C - Girone C
Sep 26, 2026Salernitana(home)2-1Serie C - Girone C
Sep 20, 2026SS Monopoli(away)2-2Serie C - Girone C
Sep 15, 2026Inter U23(home)0-2Serie C - Girone C

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Cosenza wins, 2 draws, 2 Crotone wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2026Crotone 0-2 CosenzaCoppa Italia Serie C
Jan 19, 2026Cosenza 0-2 CrotoneSerie C - Girone C
Sep 7, 2025Crotone 0-0 CosenzaSerie C - Girone C
Feb 23, 2022Crotone 3-3 CosenzaSerie B
Sep 25, 2021Cosenza 1-0 CrotoneSerie B
Jan 20, 2020Cosenza 0-1 CrotoneSerie B

Last archived meeting: Crotone vs Cosenza on Aug 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Cosenza score 0.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Crotone score 1.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Cosenza0.91.938/157/15
Crotone1.21.7110/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Cosenza sit 19th in Serie C - Girone C (5 points from 9 matches) and Crotone sit 20th (0 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
19Cosenza91267195
20Crotone913510150

A question about Cosenza vs Crotone?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cosenza vs Crotone?
The Footlab AI model makes Cosenza the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Crotone.
Where and when is Cosenza vs Crotone played?
Cosenza vs Crotone is played on March 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla, in the Serie C - Girone C.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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