Potenza vs Inter U23: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone CGirone C - 34Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani, Potenza
The Footlab model makes Potenza the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for Inter U23. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Potenza vs Inter U23?
Potenza starts as the favourite with a 156-point Elo edge (1,859 vs 1,702).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Potenza have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Inter U23 have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Casarano(home) | 4-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ascoli(away) | 1-3 | Coppa Italia |
| May 20, 2026 | Ascoli(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 17, 2026 | Ascoli(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 13, 2026 | Campobasso FC(home) | 3-1 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Catania(away) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Vado(away) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Pergolettese(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Albinoleffe(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Union Brescia(home) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Potenza score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Inter U23 score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Potenza | 1.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Inter U23 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Potenza sit 1st in Serie C - Girone C (3 points from 1 matches) and Inter U23 sit 5th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Potenza | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Inter U23 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Potenza vs Inter U23?
- The Footlab model makes Potenza the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for Inter U23.
- Where and when is Potenza vs Inter U23 played?
- Potenza vs Inter U23 is played on March 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani, in the Serie C - Girone C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.