Cavese vs SS Monopoli: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone CGirone C - 34Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Simonetta Lamberti, Cava de' Tirreni
The Footlab model makes Cavese the favourite at 43%, against 32% for a draw and 25% for SS Monopoli. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cavese vs SS Monopoli?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Cavese (1,766) and SS Monopoli (1,790).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cavese have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; SS Monopoli have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Bari(away) | 0-3 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Campobasso FC(away) | 0-2 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Juve Stabia(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Sarnese(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Cosenza(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Team Altamura(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Audace Cerignola(away) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Lecce(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Casarano(home) | 0-2 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Potenza(away) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Cavese win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 SS Monopoli win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2026 | Cavese 1-0 SS Monopoli | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 28, 2025 | SS Monopoli 0-2 Cavese | Serie C - Girone C |
| Jan 26, 2025 | SS Monopoli 3-1 Cavese | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Cavese 0-1 SS Monopoli | Serie C - Girone C |
| Feb 21, 2021 | SS Monopoli 1-0 Cavese | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 25, 2020 | Cavese 0-1 SS Monopoli | Serie C - Girone C |
Last archived meeting: Cavese vs SS Monopoli on Feb 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cavese score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; SS Monopoli score 0.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cavese | 0.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
| SS Monopoli | 0.8 | 1.1 | 3 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cavese sit 20th in Serie C - Girone C (0 points from 1 matches) and SS Monopoli sit 17th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | SS Monopoli | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 | Cavese | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cavese vs SS Monopoli?
- The Footlab model makes Cavese the favourite at 43%, against 32% for a draw and 25% for SS Monopoli.
- Where and when is Cavese vs SS Monopoli played?
- Cavese vs SS Monopoli is played on March 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Simonetta Lamberti, in the Serie C - Girone C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.