Match

Salernitana vs Casertana: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone CGirone C - 34Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Arechi, Salerno

SalernitanaCasertana

The Footlab AI model makes Salernitana the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Casertana. The most likely score is 1-1. If Salernitana wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 3,123 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Salernitana vs Casertana?

A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Salernitana (1,890) and Casertana (1,868).

47%27%26%
Salernitana winDrawCasertana win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Salernitana vs Casertana

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Salernitana

3-5-2
  1. 11E. D'Ursi
  2. 20A. La Gumina
  1. 16M. Llano
  2. 32M. Vitale
  3. 8M. Tascone
  4. 6K. de Boer
  5. 4E. Gyabuaa
  1. 73S. Pieraccini
  2. 5D. Celiento
  3. 33A. Anastasio
  1. 12C. Galeotti

Casertana

3-5-2
  1. 10J. Manconi
  2. 9D. Castelli
  1. 18S. Oukhadda
  2. 21F. Vezzoni
  3. 16S. Pezzella
  4. 8S. Girelli
  5. 32F. Di Tacchio
  1. 23P. Martino
  2. 4I. Kontek
  3. 11G. Favale
  1. 1V. De Lucia

Computed on October 24, 2026 at 12:16 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Salernitana have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Casertana have 4, 7 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Salernitana
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Scafatese(home)2-2Serie C - Girone C
Oct 11, 2026Casarano(away)0-0Serie C - Girone C
Oct 4, 2026Bari(home)2-1Serie C - Girone C
Sep 26, 2026Crotone(away)1-2Serie C - Girone C
Sep 19, 2026Giugliano(home)1-0Serie C - Girone C
Casertana
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 23, 2026Bari(home)1-1Serie C - Girone C
Oct 18, 2026Sorrento(away)0-0Serie C - Girone C
Oct 10, 2026SS Monopoli(home)3-1Serie C - Girone C
Oct 3, 2026Cavese(away)0-2Serie C - Girone C
Sep 27, 2026Catania(home)1-2Serie C - Girone C

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Salernitana wins, 1 draw, 1 Casertana win.

DateScoreCompetition
May 13, 2026Salernitana 1-1 CasertanaSerie C - Promotion - Play-offs
May 10, 2026Casertana 2-3 SalernitanaSerie C - Promotion - Play-offs
Mar 5, 2026Casertana 1-0 SalernitanaSerie C - Girone C
Oct 26, 2025Salernitana 2-1 CasertanaSerie C - Girone C

Last archived meeting: Salernitana vs Casertana on May 13, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Salernitana score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Casertana score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Salernitana1.31.2311/157/15
Casertana1.41.4311/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Salernitana sit 10th in Serie C - Girone C (14 points from 10 matches) and Casertana sit 6th (16 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Casertana10442151316
10Salernitana10352141214

A question about Salernitana vs Casertana?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Salernitana vs Casertana?
The Footlab AI model makes Salernitana the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Casertana.
Where and when is Salernitana vs Casertana played?
Salernitana vs Casertana is played on March 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Arechi, in the Serie C - Girone C.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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