Covadonga vs Gijón Industrial: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 25Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Juan Antonio Alvarez Rabanal, Oviedo
The Footlab AI model makes Covadonga the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Gijón Industrial. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,197 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Covadonga vs Gijón Industrial?
Covadonga starts as the favourite with a 240-point Elo edge (1,903 vs 1,664).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Covadonga vs Gijón Industrial
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Covadonga
4-3-3- 7Álex Arias
- 11I. Fernandez
- 19V. Alvarez
- 8Tineo Pablo
- 22B. Germanier
- 21J. Mendez
- 14Aitor Elena
- 4S. Madrigal
- 5A. Trabanco
- 6E. Morilla
- 1C. Aramburu
Gijón Industrial
4-3-3- AAdrián Rueda Colunga
- JJosé Naya
- DDiego Sánchez
- BBorja López Prieto
- BBabafemo Fofana
- SSanti Otero
- PPablo Bango
- JJuan Runza
- JJoaquin Flórez
- JJ. Korbla
- DDiego García Bravo
Computed on November 9, 2026 at 12:55 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Covadonga have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Gijón Industrial have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Condal(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Valladolid(home) | 0-1 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Gijón Industrial(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Mosconia(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | San Martín(away) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Praviano(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | L'Entregu(away) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Covadonga(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Ceares(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Astur(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Covadonga wins, 0 draws, 0 Gijón Industrial wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Gijón Industrial 0-2 Covadonga | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Mar 1, 2026 | Covadonga 6-0 Gijón Industrial | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Gijón Industrial 1-3 Covadonga | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Mar 20, 2022 | Gijón Industrial 1-3 Covadonga | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 31, 2021 | Covadonga 3-1 Gijón Industrial | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Jan 19, 2020 | Gijón Industrial 0-1 Covadonga | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Gijón Industrial vs Covadonga on Oct 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Covadonga score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Gijón Industrial score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Covadonga | 1.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Gijón Industrial | 1.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Covadonga sit 1st in Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 (20 points from 9 matches) and Gijón Industrial sit 6th (17 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Covadonga | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 20 |
| 6 | Gijón Industrial | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 17 |
A question about Covadonga vs Gijón Industrial?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Covadonga vs Gijón Industrial?
- The Footlab AI model makes Covadonga the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Gijón Industrial.
- Where and when is Covadonga vs Gijón Industrial played?
- Covadonga vs Gijón Industrial is played on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Juan Antonio Alvarez Rabanal, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.