Coventry vs Hull City: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 2Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Coventry Building Society Arena, Coventry, West Midlands
The Footlab model makes Coventry the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Hull City. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 20, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Coventry vs Hull City?
Coventry starts as the favourite with a 121-point Elo edge (2,019 vs 1,898).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Coventry have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats; Hull City have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Monaco(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Espanyol(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Northampton(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 2, 2026 | Watford(away) | 4-0 | Championship |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Wrexham(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Nice(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kasımpaşa(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Rizespor(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Konyaspor(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Coventry win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Hull City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2026 | Hull City 0-0 Coventry | Championship |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Coventry 0-0 Hull City | Championship |
| Apr 14, 2025 | Hull City 1-1 Coventry | Championship |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Coventry 2-1 Hull City | Championship |
| Apr 24, 2024 | Coventry 2-3 Hull City | Championship |
| Sep 15, 2023 | Hull City 1-1 Coventry | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Coventry score 2.1 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Hull City score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coventry | 2.1 | 0.6 | 8 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Hull City | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Coventry vs Hull City?
- The Footlab model makes Coventry the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Hull City.
- Where and when is Coventry vs Hull City played?
- Coventry vs Hull City is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Coventry Building Society Arena, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.