Sunderland vs Fulham: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 2Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadium of Light, Sunderland
The Footlab model makes Sunderland the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Fulham. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 21, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sunderland vs Fulham?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Sunderland (2,056) and Fulham (2,113).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sunderland have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Fulham have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rennes(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lens(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Wrexham(away) | 1-0 | Premier League - Summer Series |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Leeds(home) | 0-1 | Premier League - Summer Series |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Liverpool(away) | 2-4 | Premier League - Summer Series |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | VfB Stuttgart(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Malaga(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Crystal Palace(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Farense(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Al-Ahli Jeddah(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Sunderland win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Fulham win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Sunderland 1-3 Fulham | Premier League |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Fulham 1-0 Sunderland | Premier League |
| Feb 8, 2023 | Sunderland 2-3 Fulham | FA Cup |
| Jan 28, 2023 | Fulham 1-1 Sunderland | FA Cup |
| Apr 27, 2018 | Fulham 2-1 Sunderland | Championship |
| Dec 16, 2017 | Sunderland 1-0 Fulham | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Sunderland score 1.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Fulham score 0.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland | 1.6 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Fulham | 0.9 | 1.0 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sunderland sit 7th in Premier League (54 points from 38 matches) and Fulham sit 11th (52 points from 38 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42 | 48 | 54 |
| 11 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47 | 51 | 52 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sunderland vs Fulham?
- The Footlab model makes Sunderland the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Fulham.
- Where and when is Sunderland vs Fulham played?
- Sunderland vs Fulham is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadium of Light, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.