Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 2Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Anfield, Liverpool
The Footlab model makes Liverpool the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Nottingham Forest. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 20, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Liverpool (2,186) and Nottingham Forest (2,140).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Liverpool have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Nottingham Forest have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Como(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Monaco(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Leeds(home) | 2-4 | Premier League - Summer Series |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Wrexham(home) | 1-0 | Premier League - Summer Series |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sunderland(home) | 4-2 | Premier League - Summer Series |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Stade Brestois 29(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Bayer Leverkusen(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Barcelona(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Udinese(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Sporting CP(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Liverpool win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Nottingham Forest win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Nottingham Forest 0-1 Liverpool | Premier League |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Liverpool 0-3 Nottingham Forest | Premier League |
| Jan 14, 2025 | Nottingham Forest 1-1 Liverpool | Premier League |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Liverpool 0-1 Nottingham Forest | Premier League |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Nottingham Forest 0-1 Liverpool | Premier League |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Liverpool 3-0 Nottingham Forest | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool on Feb 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Liverpool score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Nottingham Forest score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | 1.5 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Nottingham Forest | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Liverpool sit 5th in Premier League (60 points from 38 matches) and Nottingham Forest sit 16th (44 points from 38 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63 | 53 | 60 |
| 16 | Nottingham Forest | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48 | 51 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest?
- The Footlab model makes Liverpool the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Nottingham Forest.
- Where and when is Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest played?
- Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Anfield, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.