Pro Sesto vs Pro Patria: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone DGroup D - 15Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Ernesto Breda, Sesto San Giovanni
The Footlab AI model makes Pro Sesto the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Pro Patria. The most likely score is 1-1. If Pro Sesto wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,495 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pro Sesto vs Pro Patria?
A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate Pro Sesto (1,753) and Pro Patria (1,656).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pro Sesto vs Pro Patria
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pro Sesto
Not enough data to predict the Pro Sesto lineup.
Pro Patria
4-3-3- 10F. Mastroianni
- 25D. Ferri
- 70J. Desogus
- 17G. Tunjov
- 23J. Frosali
- 27L. Giudici
- 6A. Sassaro
- 39M. Motolese
- 20C. Mora
- 31G. Felicioli
- 28A. Sala
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 10:57 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pro Sesto have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Pro Patria have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Solbiatese(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Arconatese(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Oltrepò(home) | 6-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Crema(away) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Pontedera(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sant'Angelo(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Città di Varese(away) | 5-2 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Varesina(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Solbiatese(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Arconatese(away) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Pro Sesto wins, 2 draws, 0 Pro Patria wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2024 | Pro Sesto 1-0 Pro Patria | Serie C - Girone A |
| Dec 23, 2023 | Pro Patria 0-0 Pro Sesto | Serie C - Girone A |
| Mar 5, 2023 | Pro Patria 1-3 Pro Sesto | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 30, 2022 | Pro Sesto 2-1 Pro Patria | Serie C - Girone A |
| Feb 16, 2022 | Pro Patria 0-3 Pro Sesto | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 10, 2021 | Pro Sesto 1-1 Pro Patria | Serie C - Girone A |
Last archived meeting: Pro Sesto vs Pro Patria on Apr 28, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Pro Sesto score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Pro Patria score 2.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pro Sesto | 1.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Pro Patria | 2.0 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pro Sesto sit 5th in Serie D - Girone D (14 points from 7 matches) and Pro Patria sit 2nd (16 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Pro Patria | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 16 |
| 5 | Pro Sesto | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 6 | 14 |
A question about Pro Sesto vs Pro Patria?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pro Sesto vs Pro Patria?
- The Footlab AI model makes Pro Sesto the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Pro Patria.
- Where and when is Pro Sesto vs Pro Patria played?
- Pro Sesto vs Pro Patria is played on December 6, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Ernesto Breda, in the Serie D - Girone D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.