Crewe vs Eastleigh: result 0-1 and analysis
FA Cup1st RoundKick-off on November 7, 2015 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Mornflake Stadium, Crewe, Cheshire
Full time
What was the result of Crewe vs Eastleigh?
Eastleigh won 0-1 on November 7, 2015.
Goalscorers
- 75′Ben StrevensEastleigh (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Crewe have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Eastleigh have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2015 | Sheffield Utd(home) | 1-0 | League One |
| Oct 24, 2015 | Blackpool(away) | 0-2 | League One |
| Oct 20, 2015 | Burton Albion(away) | 0-0 | League One |
| Oct 17, 2015 | Gillingham(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Oct 10, 2015 | Barnsley(away) | 2-1 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2015 | FC Halifax Town(home) | 2-1 | National League |
| Oct 24, 2015 | Bromley(away) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 17, 2015 | Cheltenham(away) | 1-1 | National League |
| Oct 13, 2015 | Forest Green(home) | 3-2 | National League |
| Oct 10, 2015 | Tranmere(away) | 2-1 | National League |
How many goals should we expect?
Crewe score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Eastleigh score 1.5 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crewe | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Eastleigh | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy