Crewe vs Fleetwood Town: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 38Kick-off on March 29, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Mornflake Stadium, Crewe, Cheshire
The Footlab AI model makes Crewe the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Fleetwood Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Crewe wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,566 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Crewe vs Fleetwood Town?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Crewe (1,758) and Fleetwood Town (1,748).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Crewe vs Fleetwood Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Crewe
4-2-3-1- 9J. March
- 11J. Tabiner
- 14J. Gibson
- 17M. Holíček
- 8C. Thomas
- 10J. White
- 6L. Offord
- 2L. Billington
- 12J. Stephenson
- 3R. Hutchinson
- 1T. Booth
Fleetwood Town
3-1-4-2- 19R. Coughlan
- 20A. Loupalo-Bi
- 10M. Helm
- 4H. Neal
- 24Jake Thomas Batty
- 14L. McCann
- 15A. Murphy
- 26S. Rooney
- 5F. Potter
- 6R. Bennett
- 1J. Lynch
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 10:23 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Crewe have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Fleetwood Town have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Barnet(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Chesterfield(away) | 1-5 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Exeter City(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Rochdale(home) | 3-2 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Swindon Town(away) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Bristol Rovers(home) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Arsenal(home) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Exeter City(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Cheltenham(away) | 2-4 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Rotherham(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Crewe wins, 0 draws, 4 Fleetwood Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2026 | Crewe 0-1 Fleetwood Town | League Two |
| Aug 19, 2025 | Fleetwood Town 1-4 Crewe | League Two |
| Mar 4, 2025 | Crewe 1-4 Fleetwood Town | League Two |
| Oct 22, 2024 | Fleetwood Town 0-1 Crewe | League Two |
| Apr 2, 2022 | Crewe 1-3 Fleetwood Town | League One |
| Oct 16, 2021 | Fleetwood Town 3-0 Crewe | League One |
Last archived meeting: Crewe vs Fleetwood Town on Feb 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Crewe score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Fleetwood Town score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crewe | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 12/15 | 7/15 |
| Fleetwood Town | 1.4 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Crewe sit 4th in League Two (22 points from 14 matches) and Fleetwood Town sit 16th (17 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Crewe | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 17 | 22 |
| 16 | Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 18 | 17 |
A question about Crewe vs Fleetwood Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Crewe vs Fleetwood Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Crewe the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Fleetwood Town.
- Where and when is Crewe vs Fleetwood Town played?
- Crewe vs Fleetwood Town is played on March 29, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Mornflake Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.