Northampton vs Chesterfield: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 38Kick-off on March 29, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Sixfields Stadium, Northampton, East Midlands
The Footlab AI model makes Chesterfield the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Northampton. The most likely score is 1-1. If Chesterfield wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,457 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Northampton vs Chesterfield?
Chesterfield starts as the favourite with a 166-point Elo edge (1,868 vs 1,702).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Northampton vs Chesterfield
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Northampton
4-4-2- 19O. Dale
- 9Matthew Warhurst
- 16J. Wormleighton
- 4J. O'Brien-Whitmarsh
- 8L. Evans
- 24C. Lemonheigh-Evans
- 6E. Moore
- 5J. Guthrie
- 22Joshua Alan Powell
- 44J. Donacien
- 1Z. Jeacock
Chesterfield
4-2-3-1- 10L. Bonis
- 20G. McEachran
- 8R. Stirk
- 24D. Markanday
- 18L. Marsh
- 31J. Randall
- 6J. Simpson
- 33R. Hutton
- 19L. Gordon
- 5K. McFadzean
- 23R. Boot
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 03:03 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Northampton have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Chesterfield have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | York(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Cambridge United(away) | 1-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Rotherham(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Shrewsbury(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Newport County(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Crawley Town(away) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Tranmere(home) | 4-2 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cheltenham(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Port Vale(home) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | York(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Northampton win, 1 draw, 4 Chesterfield wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2022 | Chesterfield 1-0 Northampton | FA Cup |
| Feb 11, 2017 | Northampton 3-1 Chesterfield | League One |
| Sep 17, 2016 | Chesterfield 3-1 Northampton | League One |
| Jan 25, 2014 | Northampton 1-3 Chesterfield | League Two |
| Nov 26, 2013 | Chesterfield 0-0 Northampton | League Two |
| Jan 12, 2013 | Chesterfield 3-0 Northampton | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Chesterfield vs Northampton on Nov 5, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Northampton score 0.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Chesterfield score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northampton | 0.8 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Chesterfield | 1.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Northampton sit 23rd in League Two (7 points from 8 matches) and Chesterfield sit 7th (15 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Chesterfield | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 15 |
| 23 | Northampton | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 7 |
A question about Northampton vs Chesterfield?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Northampton vs Chesterfield?
- The Footlab AI model makes Chesterfield the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Northampton.
- Where and when is Northampton vs Chesterfield played?
- Northampton vs Chesterfield is played on March 29, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Sixfields Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.