Match

Port Vale vs Cheltenham: prediction and stats

League TwoRegular Season - 38Kick-off on March 29, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Vale Park, Stoke-on-Trent, Staffordshire

Port ValeCheltenham

The Footlab AI model makes Port Vale the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Cheltenham. The most likely score is 1-1. If Port Vale wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,800 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Port Vale vs Cheltenham?

Port Vale starts as the favourite with a 112-point Elo edge (1,834 vs 1,723).

53%26%21%
Port Vale winDrawCheltenham win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Port Vale vs Cheltenham

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Port Vale

3-5-2
  1. 11O. Hernández
  2. 36M. Watters
  1. 6J. Lawrence-Gabriel
  2. 10K. Dempsey
  3. 3J. Headley
  4. 8B. Garrity
  5. 33G. Hall
  1. 5C. Hall
  2. 25C. Humphreys
  3. 4J. Moon
  1. 20M. Maroši

Cheltenham

4-2-3-1
  1. 18A. Weimann
  1. 26J. Shipley
  2. 19J. Evans
  3. 8C. McCann
  4. 33F. Willcox
  5. 7B. Stevenson
  1. 25P. Sweeney
  2. 6J. Wilson
  3. 17S. McWilliams
  4. 3J. Tomkinson
  1. 23W. Stanway

Computed on October 19, 2026 at 04:49 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Port Vale have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Cheltenham have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Port Vale
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Chesterfield(home)1-0League Two
Oct 10, 2026Grimsby(home)1-0League Two
Oct 6, 2026Mansfield Town(home)2-0EFL Trophy
Sep 22, 2026Chesterfield(away)1-1EFL Trophy
Sep 19, 2026Walsall(away)0-2League Two
Cheltenham
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Oldham(away)1-4League Two
Oct 13, 2026Tottenham Hotspur U21(home)2-2EFL Trophy
Oct 10, 2026Salford City(home)0-2League Two
Oct 3, 2026Accrington ST(away)0-2League Two
Sep 26, 2026Chesterfield(home)2-1League Two

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Port Vale wins, 4 draws, 2 Cheltenham wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 1, 2025Port Vale 0-0 CheltenhamLeague Two
Dec 3, 2024Cheltenham 1-1 Port ValeLeague Two
Feb 17, 2024Cheltenham 3-2 Port ValeLeague One
Oct 28, 2023Port Vale 1-2 CheltenhamLeague One
Jan 28, 2023Cheltenham 0-0 Port ValeLeague One
Sep 3, 2022Port Vale 2-2 CheltenhamLeague One

Last archived meeting: Port Vale vs Cheltenham on Jan 1, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Port Vale score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Cheltenham score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Port Vale0.90.974/153/15
Cheltenham1.51.9012/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Port Vale sit 21st in League Two (11 points from 9 matches) and Cheltenham sit 8th (15 points from 11 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Cheltenham11434172015
21Port Vale93245911

A question about Port Vale vs Cheltenham?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Port Vale vs Cheltenham?
The Footlab AI model makes Port Vale the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Cheltenham.
Where and when is Port Vale vs Cheltenham played?
Port Vale vs Cheltenham is played on March 29, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Vale Park, in the League Two.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Port Vale and Cheltenham

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