Fleetwood Town vs York: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 39Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Highbury Stadium, Fleetwood, Lancashire
The Footlab AI model makes York the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Fleetwood Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If York wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,521 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fleetwood Town vs York?
York starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (1,854 vs 1,748).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fleetwood Town vs York
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fleetwood Town
3-1-4-2- 19R. Coughlan
- 20A. Loupalo-Bi
- 10M. Helm
- 4H. Neal
- 24Jake Thomas Batty
- 14L. McCann
- 15A. Murphy
- 26S. Rooney
- 5F. Potter
- 6R. Bennett
- 1J. Lynch
York
3-4-2-1- 10O. Pearce
- 8A. Hunt
- 12H. Boyes
- 7J. Grey
- 28O. Banks
- 32J. Hunt
- 16A. Read
- 3M. Kitching
- 5Z. Johnson
- 2R. Fallowfield
- 1Alfie Shane McNally
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 07:23 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fleetwood Town have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; York have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Bristol Rovers(home) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Arsenal(home) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Exeter City(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Cheltenham(away) | 2-4 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Rotherham(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Grimsby(away) | 2-5 | League Two |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Barnet(away) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Port Vale(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Accrington ST(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Newport County(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Fleetwood Town wins, 2 draws, 1 York win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2014 | Fleetwood Town 0-0 York | League Two |
| May 12, 2014 | York 0-1 Fleetwood Town | League Two |
| Feb 1, 2014 | Fleetwood Town 1-2 York | League Two |
| Oct 26, 2013 | York 0-2 Fleetwood Town | League Two |
| Dec 29, 2012 | Fleetwood Town 0-0 York | League Two |
| Oct 2, 2012 | York 0-2 Fleetwood Town | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Fleetwood Town vs York on May 16, 2014
How many goals should we expect?
Fleetwood Town score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; York score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fleetwood Town | 1.4 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| York | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fleetwood Town sit 16th in League Two (17 points from 14 matches) and York sit 7th (20 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | York | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 21 | 20 |
| 16 | Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 18 | 17 |
A question about Fleetwood Town vs York?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fleetwood Town vs York?
- The Footlab AI model makes York the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Fleetwood Town.
- Where and when is Fleetwood Town vs York played?
- Fleetwood Town vs York is played on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Highbury Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.