Arandina vs Bembibre: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 24Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Montecillo, Aranda de Duero
The Footlab AI model makes Arandina the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Bembibre. The most likely score is 1-1. If Arandina wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,958 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arandina vs Bembibre?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Arandina (1,712) and Bembibre (1,698).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Arandina vs Bembibre
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Arandina
Not enough data to predict the Arandina lineup.
Bembibre
Not enough data to predict the Bembibre lineup.
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 09:55 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arandina have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Bembibre have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Bembibre(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cristo Atlético(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Turégano(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Calasanz de Soria(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Salamanca II(away) | 4-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Arandina(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Unionistas II(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | La Virgen del Camino(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Guijuelo(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Atlético Mansillés(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Arandina wins, 3 draws, 1 Bembibre win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Bembibre 1-1 Arandina | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Arandina 3-3 Bembibre | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Bembibre 1-1 Arandina | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Bembibre 1-0 Arandina | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Arandina 2-0 Bembibre | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Mar 5, 2023 | Bembibre 1-2 Arandina | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
How many goals should we expect?
Arandina score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Bembibre score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arandina | 1.5 | 1.4 | 2 | 11/15 | 6/15 |
| Bembibre | 1.7 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arandina sit 10th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (9 points from 7 matches) and Bembibre sit 4th (14 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Bembibre | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 14 |
| 10 | Arandina | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 9 |
A question about Arandina vs Bembibre?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arandina vs Bembibre?
- The Footlab AI model makes Arandina the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Bembibre.
- Where and when is Arandina vs Bembibre played?
- Arandina vs Bembibre is played on February 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Montecillo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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