Where and when is Arandina vs Cristo Atlético played?

Arandina vs Cristo Atlético is played on October 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Montecillo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Arandina vs Cristo Atlético: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 6Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Montecillo, Aranda de Duero

Arandina

Cristo Atlético

The Footlab model makes Cristo Atlético the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Arandina. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Arandina vs Cristo Atlético?

Cristo Atlético starts as the favourite with a 149-point Elo edge (1,862 vs 1,713).

Arandina win23 %

Draw27 %

Cristo Atlético win50 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arandina have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Cristo Atlético have 10, 3 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Arandina
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Becerril Campos(away)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 2, 2026	Mirandés II(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 26, 2026	Bembibre(home)	3-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 18, 2026	UD Santa Marta(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 11, 2026	La Virgen del Camino(home)	3-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

Cristo Atlético
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Atlético Tordesillas(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026	Laredo(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026	Palencia CF(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 17, 2026	Palencia CF(away)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 10, 2026	Colegios Diocesanos(away)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Arandina win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Cristo Atlético win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 14, 2026	Arandina 0-2 Cristo Atlético	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Nov 1, 2025	Cristo Atlético 1-0 Arandina	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Mar 15, 2025	Cristo Atlético 1-0 Arandina	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 27, 2024	Arandina 2-0 Cristo Atlético	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Aug 24, 2022	Arandina 2-2 Cristo Atlético	Friendlies Clubs
Feb 2, 2020	Cristo Atlético 0-1 Arandina	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

Last archived meeting: Arandina vs Cristo Atlético on Mar 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Arandina score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Cristo Atlético score 1.5 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Arandina	1.3	1.5	2	9/15	7/15
Cristo Atlético	1.5	0.8	5	8/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Arandina sit 12th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (37 points from 34 matches) and Cristo Atlético sit 3rd (68 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Cristo Atlético	34	21	5	8	48	24	68
12	Arandina	34	9	10	15	32	46	37

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Arandina vs Cristo Atlético?: The Footlab model makes Cristo Atlético the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Arandina.
Where and when is Arandina vs Cristo Atlético played?: Arandina vs Cristo Atlético is played on October 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Montecillo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.