Croatia vs Brazil: result 1-1 and analysis
World CupQuarter-finalsKick-off on December 9, 2022 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Khalifa International Stadium, Al Rayyan (Ar-Rayyan)
Full time
What was the result of Croatia vs Brazil?
Croatia and Brazil drew 1-1 on December 9, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 105′NeymarBrazil
- 117′B. PetkovićCroatia
- 120′N. VlašićCroatia (pen.)
- 120′L. MajerCroatia (pen.)
- 120′CasemiroBrazil (pen.)
- 120′L. ModrićCroatia (pen.)
- 120′PedroBrazil (pen.)
- 120′M. OršićCroatia (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Croatia have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; Brazil have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2022 | Japan(away) | 1-1 | World Cup |
| Dec 1, 2022 | Belgium(home) | 0-0 | World Cup |
| Nov 27, 2022 | Canada(home) | 4-1 | World Cup |
| Nov 23, 2022 | Morocco(away) | 0-0 | World Cup |
| Nov 16, 2022 | Saudi Arabia(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2022 | South Korea(home) | 4-1 | World Cup |
| Dec 2, 2022 | Cameroon(away) | 0-1 | World Cup |
| Nov 28, 2022 | Switzerland(home) | 1-0 | World Cup |
| Nov 24, 2022 | Serbia(home) | 2-0 | World Cup |
| Sep 27, 2022 | Tunisia(home) | 5-1 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Croatia win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Brazil win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 3, 2018 | Brazil 2-0 Croatia | Friendlies |
| Jun 12, 2014 | Brazil 3-1 Croatia | World Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Croatia score 1.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Brazil score 2.6 and concede 0.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Croatia | 1.7 | 0.7 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Brazil | 2.6 | 0.4 | 9 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Croatia sit 4th in World Cup (0 points from 1 matches) and Brazil sit 1st (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brazil | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Croatia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy