Croatia vs England: result 2-1 and analysis
World CupSemi-finalsKick-off on July 11, 2018 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Khalifa International Stadium, Al Rayyan (Ar-Rayyan)
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What was the result of Croatia vs England?
Croatia won 2-1 on July 11, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 5′K. TrippierEngland
- 68′I. PerišićCroatia
- 109′M. MandžukićCroatia
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Croatia have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; England have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 7, 2018 | Russia(away) | 2-2 | World Cup |
| Jul 1, 2018 | Denmark(home) | 1-1 | World Cup |
| Jun 26, 2018 | Iceland(away) | 2-1 | World Cup |
| Jun 21, 2018 | Argentina(away) | 3-0 | World Cup |
| Jun 16, 2018 | Nigeria(home) | 2-0 | World Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 7, 2018 | Sweden(away) | 2-0 | World Cup |
| Jul 3, 2018 | Colombia(away) | 1-1 | World Cup |
| Jun 28, 2018 | Belgium(home) | 0-1 | World Cup |
| Jun 24, 2018 | Panama(home) | 6-1 | World Cup |
| Jun 18, 2018 | Tunisia(away) | 2-1 | World Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Croatia score 1.4 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; England score 1.7 and concede 0.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Croatia | 1.4 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| England | 1.7 | 0.5 | 8 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Croatia sit 4th in World Cup (0 points from 1 matches) and England sit 1st (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | England | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Croatia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy