Croatia vs Portugal: result 1-1 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueLeague A - 6Kick-off on November 18, 2024 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Stadion Poljud, Split
Full time
What was the result of Croatia vs Portugal?
Croatia and Portugal drew 1-1 on November 18, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 33′João FélixPortugal
- 65′J. GvardiolCroatia
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Croatia have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Portugal have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2024 | Scotland(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 15, 2024 | Poland(away) | 3-3 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Scotland(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Poland(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 5, 2024 | Portugal(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2024 | Poland(home) | 5-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 15, 2024 | Scotland(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Poland(away) | 3-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Scotland(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 5, 2024 | Croatia(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Nations League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Croatia win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Portugal win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2024 | Portugal 2-1 Croatia | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 8, 2024 | Portugal 1-2 Croatia | Friendlies |
| Nov 17, 2020 | Croatia 2-3 Portugal | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 5, 2020 | Portugal 4-1 Croatia | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 6, 2018 | Portugal 1-1 Croatia | Friendlies |
| Jun 25, 2016 | Croatia 0-1 Portugal | Euro Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Croatia score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Portugal score 2.0 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Croatia | 1.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Portugal | 2.0 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy