Portugal vs Croatia: result 2-1 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueLeague A - 1Kick-off on September 5, 2024 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Estádio José Alvalade, Lisboa
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What was the result of Portugal vs Croatia?
Portugal won 2-1 on September 5, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 7′Diogo DalotPortugal
- 34′Cristiano RonaldoPortugal
- 41′Diogo DalotCroatia (o.g.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Portugal have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Croatia have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 5, 2024 | France(home) | 0-0 | Euro Championship |
| Jul 1, 2024 | Slovenia(home) | 0-0 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 26, 2024 | Georgia(away) | 0-2 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 22, 2024 | Türkiye(away) | 3-0 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 18, 2024 | Czechia(home) | 2-1 | Euro Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 24, 2024 | Italy(home) | 1-1 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 19, 2024 | Albania(home) | 2-2 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 15, 2024 | Spain(away) | 0-3 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 8, 2024 | Portugal(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Jun 3, 2024 | FYR Macedonia(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Portugal win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Croatia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 8, 2024 | Portugal 1-2 Croatia | Friendlies |
| Nov 17, 2020 | Croatia 2-3 Portugal | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 5, 2020 | Portugal 4-1 Croatia | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 6, 2018 | Portugal 1-1 Croatia | Friendlies |
| Jun 25, 2016 | Croatia 0-1 Portugal | Euro Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Portugal score 2.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Croatia score 1.7 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portugal | 2.6 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| Croatia | 1.7 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy