SS Monopoli vs Audace Cerignola: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone CGirone C - 11Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Stadio Vito Simone Veneziani, Monopoli
The Footlab AI model makes SS Monopoli the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Audace Cerignola. The most likely score is 1-1. If SS Monopoli wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 3,229 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SS Monopoli vs Audace Cerignola?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate SS Monopoli (1,845) and Audace Cerignola (1,874).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for SS Monopoli vs Audace Cerignola
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
SS Monopoli
3-4-2-1- 28L. Vido
- 8C. Battocchio
- 15J. Greco
- 72A. Cortinovis
- 19R. Calcagni
- 18S. Paukstys
- 60F. Gioielli
- 16B. Valenti
- 33E. Olivieri
- 6S. Piccinini
- 22M. Tommasi
Audace Cerignola
4-3-3- 7A. Vinciguerra
- 10L. D'Orazio
- 9D. Gambale
- 58C. Cretella
- 4G. Vitale
- 68M. Sellaf
- 23A. Gasbarro
- 55M. Cocorocchio
- 27A. Boccadamo
- 37A. Silvestro
- 22A. Viola
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 05:26 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SS Monopoli have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Audace Cerignola have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Inter U23(away) | 4-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Casertana(away) | 1-3 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Savoia(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Casarano(away) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Crotone(home) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Savoia(home) | 4-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Crotone(away) | 3-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Team Altamura(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 26, 2026 | AZ Picerno(away) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Casertana(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 SS Monopoli wins, 3 draws, 1 Audace Cerignola win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Audace Cerignola 1-1 SS Monopoli | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Jan 25, 2026 | Audace Cerignola 0-0 SS Monopoli | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 12, 2025 | SS Monopoli 2-0 Audace Cerignola | Serie C - Girone C |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Audace Cerignola 1-0 SS Monopoli | Serie C - Girone C |
| Nov 18, 2024 | SS Monopoli 1-1 Audace Cerignola | Serie C - Girone C |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Audace Cerignola 1-3 SS Monopoli | Serie C - Girone C |
Last archived meeting: Audace Cerignola vs SS Monopoli on Aug 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SS Monopoli score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Audace Cerignola score 1.6 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SS Monopoli | 1.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Audace Cerignola | 1.6 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SS Monopoli sit 8th in Serie C - Girone C (15 points from 10 matches) and Audace Cerignola sit 4th (17 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Audace Cerignola | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 9 | 17 |
| 8 | SS Monopoli | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 15 |
A question about SS Monopoli vs Audace Cerignola?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SS Monopoli vs Audace Cerignola?
- The Footlab AI model makes SS Monopoli the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Audace Cerignola.
- Where and when is SS Monopoli vs Audace Cerignola played?
- SS Monopoli vs Audace Cerignola is played on October 25, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Stadio Vito Simone Veneziani, in the Serie C - Girone C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.