Match

Catania vs Giugliano: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone CGirone C - 11Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Angelo Massimino, Catania

CataniaGiugliano

The Footlab AI model makes Catania the favourite at 68%, against 20% for a draw and 12% for Giugliano. The most likely score is 2-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Catania vs Giugliano?

Catania starts as the favourite with a 130-point Elo edge (1,875 vs 1,745).

68%20%12%
Catania winDrawGiugliano win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Catania vs Giugliano

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Catania

4-3-3
  1. 10E. Cicerelli
  2. 7G. Bruzzaniti
  3. 99Flavio Russo
  1. 16A. Quaini
  2. 18N. Cavuoti
  3. 4A. Vallocchia
  1. 68M. Ierardi
  2. 5M. Perrotta
  3. 15M. Di Gennaro
  4. 32E. Masciangelo
  1. 57A. Dini

Giugliano

4-3-3
  1. 16R. Improta
  2. 10I. Baldé
  3. 17G. Esposito
  1. 21L. Forciniti
  2. 64I. Varone
  3. 8R. De Rosa
  1. 24M. Caldore
  2. 15L. D'Avino
  3. 3C. Panico
  4. 33D. La Vardera
  1. 1L. Bolletta

Computed on October 9, 2026 at 02:14 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Catania have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Giugliano have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Catania
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2026Crotone(home)2-1Serie C - Girone C
Sep 27, 2026Casertana(away)2-1Serie C - Girone C
Sep 19, 2026Barletta(home)0-0Serie C - Girone C
Sep 15, 2026AZ Picerno(away)4-2Serie C - Girone C
Sep 12, 2026Scafatese(home)1-2Serie C - Girone C
Giugliano
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2026Barletta(home)1-0Serie C - Girone C
Sep 19, 2026Salernitana(away)0-1Serie C - Girone C
Sep 15, 2026Cosenza(home)5-2Serie C - Girone C
Sep 11, 2026Audace Cerignola(away)0-4Serie C - Girone C
Sep 5, 2026Sorrento(home)0-2Serie C - Girone C

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Catania wins, 0 draws, 2 Giugliano wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 22, 2026Catania 1-0 GiuglianoSerie C - Girone C
Oct 11, 2025Giugliano 0-3 CataniaSerie C - Girone C
May 4, 2025Catania 3-2 GiuglianoSerie C - Promotion - Play-offs
Jan 26, 2025Catania 3-1 GiuglianoSerie C - Girone C
Sep 22, 2024Giugliano 3-2 CataniaSerie C - Girone C
Mar 28, 2024Catania 2-3 GiuglianoSerie C - Girone C

Last archived meeting: Catania vs Giugliano on Feb 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Catania score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Giugliano score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Catania1.31.638/1510/15
Giugliano1.11.736/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Catania sit 4th in Serie C - Girone C (13 points from 8 matches) and Giugliano sit 18th (7 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Catania8413141013
18Giugliano721412167

A question about Catania vs Giugliano?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Catania vs Giugliano?
The Footlab AI model makes Catania the favourite at 68%, against 20% for a draw and 12% for Giugliano.
Where and when is Catania vs Giugliano played?
Catania vs Giugliano is played on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Angelo Massimino, in the Serie C - Girone C.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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