Crotone vs Scafatese: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone CGirone C - 18Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Ezio Scida, Crotone
The Footlab model makes Scafatese the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Crotone. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Crotone vs Scafatese?
Scafatese starts as the favourite with a 138-point Elo edge (2,016 vs 1,878).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Crotone have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Scafatese have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Cosenza(home) | 0-2 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| May 6, 2026 | Casertana(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Audace Cerignola(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Latina(home) | 2-5 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Casarano(away) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Giugliano(away) | 3-3 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Salernitana(away) | 2-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Pineto(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Avellino(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Vado(away) | 6-0 | Serie D - Championship Round |
How many goals should we expect?
Crotone score 1.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Scafatese score 2.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crotone | 1.6 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Scafatese | 2.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Scafatese | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Crotone vs Scafatese?
- The Footlab model makes Scafatese the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Crotone.
- Where and when is Crotone vs Scafatese played?
- Crotone vs Scafatese is played on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Ezio Scida, in the Serie C - Girone C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.