Match

Bari vs SS Monopoli: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone CGirone C - 18Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale San Nicola, Bari

BariSS Monopoli

The Footlab AI model makes Bari the favourite at 58%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for SS Monopoli. The most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bari vs SS Monopoli?

On Elo ratings, Bari has 1,783 points and SS Monopoli 1,753.

58%25%17%
Bari winDrawSS Monopoli win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Bari vs SS Monopoli

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Bari

4-3-1-2
  1. 7K. Butić
  2. 24F. Bianchi
  1. 25G. Maggiore
  2. 5E. Darboe
  3. 21M. Della Morte
  4. 11A. Tribuzzi
  1. 79M. Elia
  2. 6V. Mogoș
  3. 72N. Cocetta
  4. 14M. Anzolin
  1. 31M. Cerofolini

SS Monopoli

3-4-2-1
  1. 10M. Fall
  1. 8C. Battocchio
  2. 15J. Greco
  3. 19R. Calcagni
  4. 18S. Paukstys
  5. 72A. Cortinovis
  6. 60F. Gioielli
  1. 16B. Valenti
  2. 33E. Olivieri
  3. 6S. Piccinini
  1. 22M. Tommasi

Computed on October 14, 2026 at 08:26 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bari have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; SS Monopoli have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bari
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Giugliano(home)2-0Serie C - Girone C
Oct 4, 2026Salernitana(away)1-2Serie C - Girone C
Sep 26, 2026Cosenza(home)1-0Serie C - Girone C
Sep 19, 2026Sorrento(away)2-1Serie C - Girone C
Sep 15, 2026Potenza(home)0-0Serie C - Girone C
SS Monopoli
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Casertana(away)1-3Serie C - Girone C
Oct 3, 2026Savoia(home)0-0Serie C - Girone C
Sep 27, 2026Casarano(away)1-0Serie C - Girone C
Sep 20, 2026Crotone(home)2-2Serie C - Girone C
Sep 15, 2026Scafatese(away)0-0Serie C - Girone C

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Bari wins, 4 draws, 0 SS Monopoli wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 12, 2022SS Monopoli 0-0 BariSerie C - Girone C
Oct 3, 2021Bari 1-0 SS MonopoliSerie C - Girone C
Feb 17, 2021Bari 1-0 SS MonopoliSerie C - Girone C
Oct 21, 2020SS Monopoli 0-0 BariSerie C - Girone C
Feb 9, 2020SS Monopoli 2-2 BariSerie C - Girone C
Sep 25, 2019Bari 1-1 SS MonopoliSerie C - Girone C

Last archived meeting: SS Monopoli vs Bari on Feb 12, 2022

How many goals should we expect?

Bari score 1.3 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; SS Monopoli score 0.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Bari1.30.6104/156/15
SS Monopoli0.80.965/153/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bari sit 2nd in Serie C - Girone C (19 points from 9 matches) and SS Monopoli sit 11th (12 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Bari961213619
11SS Monopoli93337712

A question about Bari vs SS Monopoli?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bari vs SS Monopoli?
The Footlab AI model makes Bari the favourite at 58%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for SS Monopoli.
Where and when is Bari vs SS Monopoli played?
Bari vs SS Monopoli is played on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale San Nicola, in the Serie C - Girone C.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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