Cruz Azul vs Toluca: result 1-0 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - 6Kick-off on August 23, 2018 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Azteca, D.F.
Full time
What was the result of Cruz Azul vs Toluca?
Cruz Azul won 1-0 on August 23, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 35′M. CauteruccioCruz Azul
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cruz Azul have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Toluca have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2018 | Leon(home) | 3-0 | Liga MX |
| Aug 13, 2018 | Club Tijuana(away) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 5, 2018 | Tigres UANL(home) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Jul 29, 2018 | Guadalajara Chivas(away) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Jul 21, 2018 | Puebla(home) | 3-0 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2018 | Club Tijuana(home) | 3-0 | Liga MX |
| Aug 12, 2018 | Tigres UANL(away) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 5, 2018 | Guadalajara Chivas(home) | 2-2 | Liga MX |
| Jul 28, 2018 | Puebla(away) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Jul 22, 2018 | Monarcas(home) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Cruz Azul win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Toluca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2018 | Toluca 1-1 Cruz Azul | Liga MX |
| Aug 12, 2017 | Cruz Azul 0-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Apr 14, 2017 | Toluca 0-2 Cruz Azul | Liga MX |
| Sep 21, 2016 | Cruz Azul 0-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Cruz Azul score 1.6 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Toluca score 1.7 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cruz Azul | 1.6 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Toluca | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cruz Azul sit 6th in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and Toluca sit 3rd (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 6 | Cruz Azul | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
| 12 | Cruz Azul | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 6 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy