Cruz Azul vs Toluca: result 1-1 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - 4Kick-off on July 21, 2024 at 03:05 AM (UTC)Estadio Ciudad de los Deportes, D.F.
Full time
What was the result of Cruz Azul vs Toluca?
Cruz Azul and Toluca drew 1-1 on July 21, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 38′M. AraújoToluca
- 89′Á. SepúlvedaCruz Azul
Official lineup for Cruz Azul vs Toluca
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Cruz Azul
5-3-2- 11G. Giakoumakis
- 15I. Rivero
- 14A. Gutiérrez
- 19C. Rodríguez
- 8L. Faravelli
- 29C. Rotondi
- 33G. Piovi
- 27L. Romo
- 4W. Ditta
- 2J. Sánchez
- 23K. Mier
Toluca
4-2-3-1- 26Paulinho
- 11M. Araújo
- 25A. Vega
- 7J. Domínguez
- 14M. Ruiz
- 23C. Baeza
- 20J. Gallardo
- 6F. Pereira
- 13Luan
- 17B. García
- 1Tiago Volpi
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cruz Azul have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Toluca have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 17, 2024 | Club Tijuana(home) | 3-0 | Liga MX |
| Jul 14, 2024 | Monterrey(away) | 4-0 | Liga MX |
| Jul 7, 2024 | Mazatlán(home) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Jun 30, 2024 | America de Cali(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 27, 2024 | Club America(away) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2024 | Mazatlán(home) | 3-0 | Liga MX |
| Jul 14, 2024 | FC Juarez(home) | 3-2 | Liga MX |
| Jul 7, 2024 | Guadalajara Chivas(away) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| May 12, 2024 | Guadalajara Chivas(home) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| May 9, 2024 | Guadalajara Chivas(away) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Cruz Azul wins, 1 draw, 3 Toluca wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2024 | Toluca 0-1 Cruz Azul | Liga MX |
| Jul 8, 2023 | Cruz Azul 0-2 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Feb 12, 2023 | Toluca 3-1 Cruz Azul | Liga MX |
| Dec 23, 2022 | Toluca 1-1 Cruz Azul | Copa por México |
| Aug 14, 2022 | Cruz Azul 2-3 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Feb 21, 2022 | Toluca 1-4 Cruz Azul | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Cruz Azul score 1.5 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Toluca score 1.9 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cruz Azul | 1.5 | 0.6 | 9 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Toluca | 1.9 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cruz Azul sit 3rd in Liga MX (29 points from 15 matches) and Toluca sit 5th (24 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cruz Azul | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 34 | 24 | 29 |
| 5 | Toluca | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 21 | 24 |
A question about Cruz Azul vs Toluca?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy