Cruz Azul vs Toluca: result 1-1 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - 4Kick-off on July 21, 2024 at 03:05 AM (UTC)Estadio Ciudad de los Deportes, D.F.
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What was the result of Cruz Azul vs Toluca?
Cruz Azul and Toluca drew 1-1 on July 21, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 38′M. AraújoToluca
- 89′Á. SepúlvedaCruz Azul
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cruz Azul have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Toluca have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 17, 2024 | Club Tijuana(home) | 3-0 | Liga MX |
| Jul 14, 2024 | Monterrey(away) | 4-0 | Liga MX |
| Jul 7, 2024 | Mazatlán(home) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Jun 30, 2024 | America de Cali(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 27, 2024 | Club America(away) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2024 | Mazatlán(home) | 3-0 | Liga MX |
| Jul 14, 2024 | FC Juarez(home) | 3-2 | Liga MX |
| Jul 7, 2024 | Guadalajara Chivas(away) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| May 12, 2024 | Guadalajara Chivas(home) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| May 9, 2024 | Guadalajara Chivas(away) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Cruz Azul win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Toluca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2024 | Toluca 0-1 Cruz Azul | Liga MX |
| Jul 8, 2023 | Cruz Azul 0-2 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Feb 12, 2023 | Toluca 3-1 Cruz Azul | Liga MX |
| Dec 23, 2022 | Toluca 1-1 Cruz Azul | Copa por México |
| Aug 14, 2022 | Cruz Azul 2-3 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Feb 21, 2022 | Toluca 1-4 Cruz Azul | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Cruz Azul score 1.5 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Toluca score 1.9 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cruz Azul | 1.5 | 0.6 | 9 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Toluca | 1.9 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cruz Azul sit 6th in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and Toluca sit 3rd (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 6 | Cruz Azul | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
| 12 | Cruz Azul | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 6 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy