Toluca vs Cruz Azul: result 0-1 and analysis
Liga MXClausura - 17Kick-off on April 28, 2024 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
Full time
What was the result of Toluca vs Cruz Azul?
Cruz Azul won 0-1 on April 28, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 18′W. DittaCruz Azul
Official lineup for Toluca vs Cruz Azul
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Toluca
4-2-3-1- 25A. Vega
- 16J. Meneses
- 10J. Angulo
- 11M. Araújo
- 14M. Ruiz
- 5T. Belmonte
- 17B. García
- 6F. Pereira
- 24J. Escobar
- 8C. Orrantía
- 1Tiago Volpi
Cruz Azul
3-1-4-2- 29C. Rotondi
- 7U. Antuna
- 13C. Cándido
- 8L. Faravelli
- 15I. Rivero
- 18R. Huescas
- 19C. Rodríguez
- 33G. Piovi
- 3C. Salcedo
- 4W. Ditta
- 23K. Mier
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Cruz Azul have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2024 | Atletico San Luis(away) | 5-1 | Liga MX |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Club America(away) | 1-5 | Liga MX |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Atlas(home) | 4-1 | Liga MX |
| Mar 31, 2024 | CF Pachuca(away) | 3-2 | Liga MX |
| Mar 18, 2024 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(home) | 3-0 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2024 | Atlas(home) | 2-2 | Liga MX |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Puebla(away) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Monterrey(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Mar 31, 2024 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(away) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Mar 24, 2024 | Club America(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Toluca wins, 1 draw, 2 Cruz Azul wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 8, 2023 | Cruz Azul 0-2 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Feb 12, 2023 | Toluca 3-1 Cruz Azul | Liga MX |
| Dec 23, 2022 | Toluca 1-1 Cruz Azul | Copa por México |
| Aug 14, 2022 | Cruz Azul 2-3 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Feb 21, 2022 | Toluca 1-4 Cruz Azul | Liga MX |
| Aug 15, 2021 | Cruz Azul 4-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 2.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Cruz Azul score 1.7 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 2.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Cruz Azul | 1.7 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toluca sit 3rd in Liga MX (21 points from 12 matches) and Cruz Azul sit 6th (20 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 21 |
| 6 | Cruz Azul | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 27 | 21 | 20 |
A question about Toluca vs Cruz Azul?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy