Cruz Azul vs Toluca: result 1-1 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - 2Kick-off on July 28, 2019 at 02:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Azteca, D.F.
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What was the result of Cruz Azul vs Toluca?
Cruz Azul and Toluca drew 1-1 on July 28, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 48′J. RodríguezCruz Azul
- 90′A. MedinaToluca
Official lineup for Cruz Azul vs Toluca
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Cruz Azul
4-2-3-1- 21J. Rodríguez
- 9M. Caraglio
- 25R. Alvarado
- 17Édgar Méndez
- 19Y. Yotún
- 24J. Escobar
- 5I. Lichnovsky
- 27J. Madueña
- 16A. Aldrete
- 23P. Aguilar
- 1J. Corona
Toluca
4-5-1- 9E. Gigliotti
- 7A. Medina
- 30L. Hernández
- 25A. Canelo
- 11F. Mancuello
- 17F. Pardo
- 8William Fernando da Silva
- 4A. Mora
- 6A. Chalá
- 2F. Tobio
- 1A. Talavera
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cruz Azul have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Toluca have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 24, 2019 | Chicago Fire(away) | 2-0 | Leagues Cup |
| Jul 21, 2019 | Necaxa(away) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| May 12, 2019 | Club America(home) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| May 10, 2019 | Club America(away) | 1-3 | Liga MX |
| May 4, 2019 | Monarcas(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 21, 2019 | Club Queretaro(home) | 0-2 | Liga MX |
| May 5, 2019 | Lobos Buap(home) | 4-0 | Liga MX |
| Apr 28, 2019 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(away) | 2-2 | Liga MX |
| Apr 21, 2019 | Club America(home) | 3-2 | Liga MX |
| Apr 13, 2019 | Club Queretaro(away) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Cruz Azul wins, 3 draws, 1 Toluca win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2019 | Toluca 1-1 Cruz Azul | Liga MX |
| Aug 23, 2018 | Cruz Azul 1-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Jan 28, 2018 | Toluca 1-1 Cruz Azul | Liga MX |
| Aug 12, 2017 | Cruz Azul 0-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Apr 14, 2017 | Toluca 0-2 Cruz Azul | Liga MX |
| Sep 21, 2016 | Cruz Azul 0-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Cruz Azul score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Toluca score 1.5 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cruz Azul | 1.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Toluca | 1.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cruz Azul sit 5th in Liga MX (20 points from 12 matches) and Toluca sit 2nd (21 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Toluca | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 21 |
| 5 | Cruz Azul | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 27 | 21 | 20 |
A question about Cruz Azul vs Toluca?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy