Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 26Kick-off on October 17, 2019 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto, Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais
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What was the result of Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo?
Cruzeiro won 1-0 on October 17, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 58′Thiago NevesCruzeiro
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cruzeiro have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Sao Paulo have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2019 | Chapecoense-sc(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 10, 2019 | Fluminense(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 6, 2019 | Internacional(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 30, 2019 | Goias(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 25, 2019 | Ceara(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2019 | Corinthians(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 10, 2019 | Bahia(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 5, 2019 | Fortaleza EC(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 28, 2019 | Flamengo(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 26, 2019 | Goias(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Cruzeiro win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Sao Paulo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 2, 2019 | Sao Paulo 1-1 Cruzeiro | Serie A |
| Nov 18, 2018 | Sao Paulo 1-0 Cruzeiro | Serie A |
| Jul 29, 2018 | Cruzeiro 0-2 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| Aug 13, 2017 | Sao Paulo 3-2 Cruzeiro | Serie A |
| May 14, 2017 | Cruzeiro 1-0 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| Apr 19, 2017 | Cruzeiro 1-2 Sao Paulo | Copa Do Brasil |
How many goals should we expect?
Cruzeiro score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sao Paulo score 1.1 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cruzeiro | 0.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Sao Paulo | 1.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cruzeiro sit 5th in Serie A (39 points from 24 matches) and Sao Paulo sit 13th (27 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cruzeiro | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 34 | 33 | 39 |
| 13 | Sao Paulo | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 26 | 27 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy