Gremio vs Bahia: result 0-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 26Kick-off on October 16, 2019 at 10:15 PM (UTC)Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul
Full time
What was the result of Gremio vs Bahia?
Bahia won 0-1 on October 16, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 90′Arthur CaíkeBahia (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gremio have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Bahia have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2019 | Atletico-MG(away) | 4-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 10, 2019 | Ceara(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 5, 2019 | Corinthians(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 3, 2019 | Flamengo(home) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Sep 29, 2019 | Fluminense(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2019 | Fluminense(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 10, 2019 | Sao Paulo(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 5, 2019 | Atletico Paranaense(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 30, 2019 | Avai(away) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 26, 2019 | Botafogo(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Gremio win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Bahia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 17, 2019 | Bahia 0-1 Gremio | Copa Do Brasil |
| Jul 10, 2019 | Gremio 1-1 Bahia | Copa Do Brasil |
| Jun 1, 2019 | Bahia 1-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| Oct 7, 2018 | Gremio 2-2 Bahia | Serie A |
| Jun 3, 2018 | Bahia 0-2 Gremio | Serie A |
| Sep 24, 2017 | Bahia 1-0 Gremio | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Gremio score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Bahia score 1.1 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gremio | 1.9 | 0.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Bahia | 1.1 | 0.7 | 9 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gremio sit 15th in Serie A (25 points from 22 matches) and Bahia sit 6th (34 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bahia | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 32 | 28 | 34 |
| 15 | Gremio | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 30 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy