CS Hammam-Lif vs ES Tunis: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 4Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Hammam-Lif Gazon, Hammam-Lif
The Footlab model makes ES Tunis the favourite at 42%, against 34% for a draw and 24% for CS Hammam-Lif. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CS Hammam-Lif vs ES Tunis?
ES Tunis is a heavy favourite: 2,074 Elo points against 1,749 — a 325-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CS Hammam-Lif have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; ES Tunis have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Stade Gabesien(home) | 3-0 | Ligue 2 |
| May 25, 2026 | AS Kasserine(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 2 |
| May 11, 2026 | ES Hammam-Sousse(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| May 1, 2026 | Kerkennah(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Menzel Bourguiba(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | ES Sahel(home) | 3-2 | Ligue 1 |
| May 31, 2026 | ES Zarzis(away) | 1-0 | Cup |
| May 24, 2026 | Jeunesse Sportive Omrane(away) | 1-0 | Cup |
| May 21, 2026 | BS Bouhajla(away) | 3-0 | Cup |
| May 17, 2026 | ES Metlaoui(away) | 3-1 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 CS Hammam-Lif win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 ES Tunis win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2025 | CS Hammam-Lif 0-4 ES Tunis | Cup |
| Apr 6, 2022 | CS Hammam-Lif 2-1 ES Tunis | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 6, 2021 | ES Tunis 2-0 CS Hammam-Lif | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 23, 2020 | CS Hammam-Lif 0-1 ES Tunis | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 24, 2019 | ES Tunis 2-0 CS Hammam-Lif | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 17, 2019 | ES Tunis 1-0 CS Hammam-Lif | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: CS Hammam-Lif vs ES Tunis on Apr 26, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
CS Hammam-Lif score 1.3 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; ES Tunis score 1.4 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 28% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CS Hammam-Lif | 1.3 | 0.5 | 9 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
| ES Tunis | 1.4 | 0.6 | 8 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | ES Tunis | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CS Hammam-Lif vs ES Tunis?
- The Footlab model makes ES Tunis the favourite at 42%, against 34% for a draw and 24% for CS Hammam-Lif.
- Where and when is CS Hammam-Lif vs ES Tunis played?
- CS Hammam-Lif vs ES Tunis is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Hammam-Lif Gazon, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 28% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.