CS Sfaxien vs Shooting Stars: prediction and stats
CAF Confederation Cup1st Preliminary RoundKick-off on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Taïeb Mhiri, Safāqis
The Footlab model makes CS Sfaxien the favourite at 76%, against 18% for a draw and 7% for Shooting Stars. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CS Sfaxien vs Shooting Stars?
CS Sfaxien is a heavy favourite: 1,958 Elo points against 1,626 — a 332-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CS Sfaxien have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Shooting Stars have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | San-Pédro(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2026 | ES Zarzis(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
| May 20, 2026 | Stade Gabesien(home) | 2-1 | Cup |
| May 14, 2026 | ES Sahel(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | AS Marsa(away) | 3-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 1, 2026 | Kada Warriors(home) | 1-1 | Federation Cup |
| May 24, 2026 | Niger Tornadoes(away) | 0-1 | NPFL |
| May 10, 2026 | Barau FC(home) | 1-0 | NPFL |
| May 3, 2026 | Nasarawa United(home) | 3-2 | NPFL |
| Apr 19, 2026 | El Kanemi Warriors(away) | 2-1 | NPFL |
How many goals should we expect?
CS Sfaxien score 1.5 and concede 0.3 goals per match over their last 15; Shooting Stars score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CS Sfaxien | 1.5 | 0.3 | 10 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Shooting Stars | 1.5 | 1.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | CS Sfaxien | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CS Sfaxien vs Shooting Stars?
- The Footlab model makes CS Sfaxien the favourite at 76%, against 18% for a draw and 7% for Shooting Stars.
- Where and when is CS Sfaxien vs Shooting Stars played?
- CS Sfaxien vs Shooting Stars is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Taïeb Mhiri, in the CAF Confederation Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.