ESMTK vs Sándorfalva: prediction and stats
NB III - SoutheastSoutheast - 5Kick-off on August 26, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)ESMTK Stadion, Budapest
The Footlab model makes ESMTK the favourite at 87%, against 9% for a draw and 4% for Sándorfalva. The most likely score is 3-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ESMTK vs Sándorfalva?
ESMTK is a heavy favourite: 1,683 Elo points against 1,368 — a 314-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ESMTK have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Sándorfalva have 2, 0 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Algyő SK(away) | 3-0 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 16, 2026 | BKV Előre(away) | 3-0 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Csepel(away) | 1-2 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hódmezővásárhely(home) | 2-2 | NB III - Southeast |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Monori Se(home) | 2-1 | NB III - Southeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Szolnoki MAV FC(home) | 1-3 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | III. Kerületi TUE(home) | 0-3 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Újpest II(home) | 1-0 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gyulai Termál(away) | 0-7 | NB III - Southeast |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Szolnoki MAV FC(away) | 2-5 | NB III - Southeast |
How many goals should we expect?
ESMTK score 2.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Sándorfalva score 1.3 and concede 3.0. The model gives a 78% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ESMTK | 2.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 8/15 | 14/15 |
| Sándorfalva | 1.3 | 3.0 | 2 | 4/8 | 7/8 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ESMTK sit 6th in NB III - Southeast (7 points from 4 matches) and Sándorfalva sit 11th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | ESMTK | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 7 |
| 11 | Sándorfalva | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ESMTK vs Sándorfalva?
- The Footlab model makes ESMTK the favourite at 87%, against 9% for a draw and 4% for Sándorfalva.
- Where and when is ESMTK vs Sándorfalva played?
- ESMTK vs Sándorfalva is played on August 26, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at ESMTK Stadion, in the NB III - Southeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 78% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.