CSM Reşiţa vs CSA Steaua Bucureşti: prediction and stats
Liga IIRegular Season - 5Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 AM (UTC)Stadionul Mircea Chivu, Reşiţa
The Footlab model makes CSM Reşiţa the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for CSA Steaua Bucureşti. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CSM Reşiţa vs CSA Steaua Bucureşti?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate CSM Reşiţa (1,625) and CSA Steaua Bucureşti (1,616).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CSM Reşiţa have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; CSA Steaua Bucureşti have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Popești-Leordeni(away) | 1-4 | Liga II |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Petrolul Ploiesti(home) | 2-3 | Cupa României |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ştefăneşti(home) | 2-0 | Liga II |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Timişul Şag(away) | 3-1 | Cupa României |
| Aug 8, 2026 | CSM Satu Mare(away) | 2-0 | Liga II |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Dumbrăviţa(home) | 2-2 | Liga II |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Csikszereda(home) | 1-2 | Cupa României |
| Aug 16, 2026 | FC Bacau(away) | 0-3 | Liga II |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu(away) | 3-0 | Cupa României |
| Aug 8, 2026 | CSM Ramnicu Valcea(home) | 1-2 | Liga II |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 CSM Reşiţa win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 CSA Steaua Bucureşti win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2025 | CSA Steaua Bucureşti 2-1 CSM Reşiţa | Liga II |
| May 18, 2025 | CSA Steaua Bucureşti 0-2 CSM Reşiţa | Liga II |
| Apr 17, 2025 | CSM Reşiţa 0-2 CSA Steaua Bucureşti | Liga II |
| Aug 20, 2024 | CSA Steaua Bucureşti 2-2 CSM Reşiţa | Liga II |
| Feb 24, 2024 | CSM Reşiţa 3-1 CSA Steaua Bucureşti | Liga II |
Last archived meeting: CSA Steaua Bucureşti vs CSM Reşiţa on Aug 23, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
CSM Reşiţa score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; CSA Steaua Bucureşti score 1.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSM Reşiţa | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| CSA Steaua Bucureşti | 1.5 | 2.1 | 2 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
CSM Reşiţa sit 3rd in Liga II (9 points from 4 matches) and CSA Steaua Bucureşti sit 22nd (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | CSM Reşiţa | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 22 | CSA Steaua Bucureşti | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CSM Reşiţa vs CSA Steaua Bucureşti?
- The Footlab model makes CSM Reşiţa the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for CSA Steaua Bucureşti.
- Where and when is CSM Reşiţa vs CSA Steaua Bucureşti played?
- CSM Reşiţa vs CSA Steaua Bucureşti is played on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 AM (UTC) at Stadionul Mircea Chivu, in the Liga II.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 29, 2026MetaloglobusvsConcordia
- Aug 29, 2026CS AfumativsUnirea Slobozia
- Aug 29, 2026Metalul BuzăuvsChindia Targoviste
- Aug 29, 2026DumbrăviţavsCSM Ramnicu Valcea
- Aug 29, 2026CS Dinamo BucureștivsViitorul Şelimbăr
- Aug 29, 2026Bihor OradeavsŞtefăneşti
- Aug 29, 2026FC BacauvsSlatina
- Aug 29, 2026Gloria BistriţavsAFC Hermannstadt