Metalul Buzău vs Chindia Targoviste: prediction and stats
Liga IIRegular Season - 5Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 AM (UTC)Teren Sintetic Cornel Negoescu, Buzău
The Footlab model makes Metalul Buzău the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Chindia Targoviste. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Metalul Buzău vs Chindia Targoviste?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Metalul Buzău (1,694) and Chindia Targoviste (1,624).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Metalul Buzău have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Chindia Targoviste have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Slatina(away) | 0-2 | Liga II |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Gloria Bistriţa(away) | 0-0 | Cupa României |
| Aug 15, 2026 | CS Dinamo București(away) | 1-0 | Liga II |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Baicoi(away) | 4-2 | Cupa României |
| Aug 8, 2026 | CS Afumati(home) | 3-1 | Liga II |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | CS Dinamo București(home) | 1-2 | Liga II |
| Aug 18, 2026 | CSM Ramnicu Valcea(away) | 1-1 | Cupa României |
| Aug 15, 2026 | CS Afumati(away) | 3-0 | Liga II |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Flacăra Moreni(away) | 2-1 | Cupa României |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Metaloglobus(home) | 3-1 | Liga II |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Metalul Buzău win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Chindia Targoviste win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Chindia Targoviste 2-3 Metalul Buzău | Liga II |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Chindia Targoviste 0-0 Metalul Buzău | Liga II |
Last archived meeting: Chindia Targoviste vs Metalul Buzău on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Metalul Buzău score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Chindia Targoviste score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metalul Buzău | 1.9 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Chindia Targoviste | 1.3 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Metalul Buzău sit 7th in Liga II (7 points from 4 matches) and Chindia Targoviste sit 8th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Metalul Buzău | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 8 | Chindia Targoviste | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Metalul Buzău vs Chindia Targoviste?
- The Footlab model makes Metalul Buzău the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Chindia Targoviste.
- Where and when is Metalul Buzău vs Chindia Targoviste played?
- Metalul Buzău vs Chindia Targoviste is played on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 AM (UTC) at Teren Sintetic Cornel Negoescu, in the Liga II.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 29, 2026MetaloglobusvsConcordia
- Aug 29, 2026CS AfumativsUnirea Slobozia
- Aug 29, 2026CSM ReşiţavsCSA Steaua Bucureşti
- Aug 29, 2026DumbrăviţavsCSM Ramnicu Valcea
- Aug 29, 2026CS Dinamo BucureștivsViitorul Şelimbăr
- Aug 29, 2026Bihor OradeavsŞtefăneşti
- Aug 29, 2026FC BacauvsSlatina
- Aug 29, 2026Gloria BistriţavsAFC Hermannstadt