Gloria Bistriţa vs CSM Satu Mare: prediction and stats
Liga IIRegular Season - 5Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 AM (UTC)Stadionul Jean Pădureanu, Bistriţa
The Footlab model makes Gloria Bistriţa the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for CSM Satu Mare. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gloria Bistriţa vs CSM Satu Mare?
Gloria Bistriţa starts as the favourite with a 117-point Elo edge (1,645 vs 1,528).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gloria Bistriţa have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; CSM Satu Mare have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | ASA Targu Mures(away) | 0-1 | Liga II |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Metalul Buzău(home) | 0-0 | Cupa României |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Concordia(home) | 1-2 | Liga II |
| Aug 12, 2026 | SCM Zalău(away) | 1-0 | Cupa României |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Unirea Slobozia(away) | 3-0 | Liga II |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bihor Oradea(home) | 0-0 | Liga II |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cetatea Suceava(away) | 0-2 | Liga II |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Minaur Baia Mare(away) | 0-5 | Cupa României |
| Aug 8, 2026 | CSM Reşiţa(home) | 0-2 | Liga II |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Dumbrăviţa(away) | 1-1 | Liga II |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Gloria Bistriţa win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 CSM Satu Mare win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | Gloria Bistriţa 0-1 CSM Satu Mare | Liga II |
| May 6, 2023 | CSM Satu Mare 0-2 Gloria Bistriţa | Liga III - Serie 10 |
| Apr 22, 2023 | Gloria Bistriţa 3-2 CSM Satu Mare | Liga III - Serie 10 |
| Apr 1, 2023 | CSM Satu Mare 0-0 Gloria Bistriţa | Liga III - Serie 10 |
| Nov 26, 2022 | CSM Satu Mare 1-0 Gloria Bistriţa | Liga III - Serie 10 |
| Sep 23, 2022 | Gloria Bistriţa 1-0 CSM Satu Mare | Liga III - Serie 10 |
Last archived meeting: Gloria Bistriţa vs CSM Satu Mare on Nov 22, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Gloria Bistriţa score 1.3 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; CSM Satu Mare score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gloria Bistriţa | 1.3 | 0.8 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| CSM Satu Mare | 1.5 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gloria Bistriţa sit 9th in Liga II (6 points from 4 matches) and CSM Satu Mare sit 19th (2 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Gloria Bistriţa | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 19 | CSM Satu Mare | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gloria Bistriţa vs CSM Satu Mare?
- The Footlab model makes Gloria Bistriţa the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for CSM Satu Mare.
- Where and when is Gloria Bistriţa vs CSM Satu Mare played?
- Gloria Bistriţa vs CSM Satu Mare is played on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 AM (UTC) at Stadionul Jean Pădureanu, in the Liga II.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 29, 2026MetaloglobusvsConcordia
- Aug 29, 2026CS AfumativsUnirea Slobozia
- Aug 29, 2026CSM ReşiţavsCSA Steaua Bucureşti
- Aug 29, 2026Metalul BuzăuvsChindia Targoviste
- Aug 29, 2026DumbrăviţavsCSM Ramnicu Valcea
- Aug 29, 2026CS Dinamo BucureștivsViitorul Şelimbăr
- Aug 29, 2026Bihor OradeavsŞtefăneşti
- Aug 29, 2026Gloria BistriţavsAFC Hermannstadt