Dumbrăviţa vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea: prediction and stats
Liga IIRegular Season - 5Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 AM (UTC)Stadionul Ştefan Dobay, Dumbrăvița
The Footlab model makes CSM Ramnicu Valcea the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Dumbrăviţa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dumbrăviţa vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea?
CSM Ramnicu Valcea starts as the favourite with a 190-point Elo edge (1,707 vs 1,516).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dumbrăviţa have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; CSM Ramnicu Valcea have 8, 6 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | CSA Steaua Bucureşti(away) | 2-2 | Liga II |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Popești-Leordeni(home) | 1-1 | Liga II |
| Aug 12, 2026 | FC Politehnica Timisoara(away) | 0-1 | Cupa României |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ştefăneşti(away) | 0-1 | Liga II |
| Aug 5, 2026 | CSM Satu Mare(home) | 1-1 | Liga II |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Bacau(home) | 2-2 | Liga II |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Chindia Targoviste(home) | 1-1 | Cupa României |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Slatina(home) | 0-1 | Liga II |
| Aug 12, 2026 | CSM Targu Jiu(away) | 0-0 | Cupa României |
| Aug 8, 2026 | CSA Steaua Bucureşti(away) | 2-1 | Liga II |
How many goals should we expect?
Dumbrăviţa score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; CSM Ramnicu Valcea score 2.1 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dumbrăviţa | 0.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| CSM Ramnicu Valcea | 2.1 | 0.8 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dumbrăviţa sit 18th in Liga II (2 points from 3 matches) and CSM Ramnicu Valcea sit 12th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | CSM Ramnicu Valcea | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| 18 | Dumbrăviţa | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dumbrăviţa vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea?
- The Footlab model makes CSM Ramnicu Valcea the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Dumbrăviţa.
- Where and when is Dumbrăviţa vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea played?
- Dumbrăviţa vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea is played on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 AM (UTC) at Stadionul Ştefan Dobay, in the Liga II.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Aug 29, 2026CS AfumativsUnirea Slobozia
- Aug 29, 2026CSM ReşiţavsCSA Steaua Bucureşti
- Aug 29, 2026Metalul BuzăuvsChindia Targoviste
- Aug 29, 2026CS Dinamo BucureștivsViitorul Şelimbăr
- Aug 29, 2026Bihor OradeavsŞtefăneşti
- Aug 29, 2026FC BacauvsSlatina
- Aug 29, 2026Gloria BistriţavsAFC Hermannstadt