Match

CSM Reşiţa vs FC Bacau: prediction and stats

Liga IIRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 08:00 AM (UTC)Stadionul Mircea Chivu, Reşiţa

CSM ReşiţaFC Bacau

The Footlab model makes FC Bacau the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for CSM Reşiţa. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win CSM Reşiţa vs FC Bacau?

A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate CSM Reşiţa (1,626) and FC Bacau (1,694).

CSM Reşiţa win35 %
Draw26 %
FC Bacau win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CSM Reşiţa have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; FC Bacau have 9, 1 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

CSM Reşiţa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Popești-Leordeni(away)1-4Liga II
Aug 18, 2026Petrolul Ploiesti(home)2-3Cupa României
Aug 15, 2026Ştefăneşti(home)2-0Liga II
Aug 12, 2026Timişul Şag(away)3-1Cupa României
Aug 8, 2026CSM Satu Mare(away)2-0Liga II
FC Bacau
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026CSM Ramnicu Valcea(away)2-2Liga II
Aug 19, 2026Popești-Leordeni(away)3-0Cupa României
Aug 16, 2026CSA Steaua Bucureşti(home)3-0Liga II
Aug 12, 2026Viitorul Onesti(away)3-0Cupa României
Aug 8, 2026Popești-Leordeni(away)2-3Liga II

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 CSM Reşiţa win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 FC Bacau win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 4, 2026CSM Reşiţa 1-0 FC BacauLiga II
Sep 13, 2025FC Bacau 0-0 CSM ReşiţaLiga II

Last archived meeting: CSM Reşiţa vs FC Bacau on Apr 4, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

CSM Reşiţa score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; FC Bacau score 2.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
CSM Reşiţa1.31.549/157/15
FC Bacau2.01.276/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

CSM Reşiţa sit 3rd in Liga II (9 points from 4 matches) and FC Bacau sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3CSM Reşiţa4301759
6FC Bacau42111057

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for CSM Reşiţa vs FC Bacau?
The Footlab model makes FC Bacau the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for CSM Reşiţa.
Where and when is CSM Reşiţa vs FC Bacau played?
CSM Reşiţa vs FC Bacau is played on September 12, 2026 at 08:00 AM (UTC) at Stadionul Mircea Chivu, in the Liga II.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: CSM Reşiţa and FC Bacau

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