CSM Reşiţa vs FC Bacau: prediction and stats
Liga IIRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 08:00 AM (UTC)Stadionul Mircea Chivu, Reşiţa
The Footlab model makes FC Bacau the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for CSM Reşiţa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CSM Reşiţa vs FC Bacau?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate CSM Reşiţa (1,626) and FC Bacau (1,694).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CSM Reşiţa have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; FC Bacau have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Popești-Leordeni(away) | 1-4 | Liga II |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Petrolul Ploiesti(home) | 2-3 | Cupa României |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ştefăneşti(home) | 2-0 | Liga II |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Timişul Şag(away) | 3-1 | Cupa României |
| Aug 8, 2026 | CSM Satu Mare(away) | 2-0 | Liga II |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | CSM Ramnicu Valcea(away) | 2-2 | Liga II |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Popești-Leordeni(away) | 3-0 | Cupa României |
| Aug 16, 2026 | CSA Steaua Bucureşti(home) | 3-0 | Liga II |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Viitorul Onesti(away) | 3-0 | Cupa României |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Popești-Leordeni(away) | 2-3 | Liga II |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 CSM Reşiţa win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 FC Bacau win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | CSM Reşiţa 1-0 FC Bacau | Liga II |
| Sep 13, 2025 | FC Bacau 0-0 CSM Reşiţa | Liga II |
Last archived meeting: CSM Reşiţa vs FC Bacau on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
CSM Reşiţa score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; FC Bacau score 2.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSM Reşiţa | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| FC Bacau | 2.0 | 1.2 | 7 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
CSM Reşiţa sit 3rd in Liga II (9 points from 4 matches) and FC Bacau sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | CSM Reşiţa | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 6 | FC Bacau | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CSM Reşiţa vs FC Bacau?
- The Footlab model makes FC Bacau the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for CSM Reşiţa.
- Where and when is CSM Reşiţa vs FC Bacau played?
- CSM Reşiţa vs FC Bacau is played on September 12, 2026 at 08:00 AM (UTC) at Stadionul Mircea Chivu, in the Liga II.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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