Cuba U17 vs Tajikistan U17: prediction and stats
World Cup - U17Group Stage - 1Kick-off on November 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Panamericano, La Habana
The Footlab model makes Cuba U17 the favourite at 42%, against 22% for a draw and 36% for Tajikistan U17. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cuba U17 vs Tajikistan U17?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Cuba U17 (1,498) and Tajikistan U17 (1,528).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 7 matches in all competitions, Cuba U17 have 3 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats; Tajikistan U17 have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2025 | United States U17(away) | 0-2 | World Cup - U17 |
| Feb 12, 2025 | US Virgin Islands U17(away) | 6-3 | World Cup - U17 |
| Feb 10, 2025 | St. Kitts and Nevis U17(home) | 3-1 | World Cup - U17 |
| Feb 20, 2023 | Panama U17(away) | 0-2 | CONCACAF U17 |
| Feb 16, 2023 | Guadeloupe U17(home) | 4-0 | CONCACAF U17 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | Japan U17(away) | 0-5 | AFC U17 Asian Cup |
| May 12, 2026 | Saudi Arabia U17(away) | 5-5 | AFC U17 Asian Cup |
| May 9, 2026 | Myanmar U17(away) | 1-0 | AFC U17 Asian Cup |
| May 5, 2026 | Thailand U17(home) | 2-0 | AFC U17 Asian Cup |
| Nov 11, 2025 | Burkina Faso U17(away) | 0-2 | World Cup - U17 |
How many goals should we expect?
Cuba U17 score 2.1 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 7; Tajikistan U17 score 3.7 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuba U17 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 1 | 3/7 | 5/7 |
| Tajikistan U17 | 3.7 | 2.0 | 4 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 7 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cuba U17 vs Tajikistan U17?
- The Footlab model makes Cuba U17 the favourite at 42%, against 22% for a draw and 36% for Tajikistan U17.
- Where and when is Cuba U17 vs Tajikistan U17 played?
- Cuba U17 vs Tajikistan U17 is played on November 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Panamericano, in the World Cup - U17.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 19, 2026Brazil U17vsRepublic of Ireland U17
- Nov 19, 2026Cameroon U17vsVenezuela U17
- Nov 19, 2026Chile U17vsAlgeria U17
- Nov 19, 2026France U17vsHaiti U17
- Nov 19, 2026Italy U17vsJamaica U17
- Nov 19, 2026Japan U17vsColombia U17
- Nov 19, 2026Korea Republic U17vsMozambique U17
- Nov 19, 2026Argentina U17vsAustralia U17