Match

Cuba U17 vs Tajikistan U17: prediction and stats

World Cup - U17Group Stage - 1Kick-off on November 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Panamericano, La Habana

Cuba U17Tajikistan U17

The Footlab model makes Cuba U17 the favourite at 42%, against 22% for a draw and 36% for Tajikistan U17. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cuba U17 vs Tajikistan U17?

A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Cuba U17 (1,498) and Tajikistan U17 (1,528).

Cuba U17 win42 %
Draw22 %
Tajikistan U17 win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 7 matches in all competitions, Cuba U17 have 3 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats; Tajikistan U17 have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cuba U17
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 16, 2025United States U17(away)0-2World Cup - U17
Feb 12, 2025US Virgin Islands U17(away)6-3World Cup - U17
Feb 10, 2025St. Kitts and Nevis U17(home)3-1World Cup - U17
Feb 20, 2023Panama U17(away)0-2CONCACAF U17
Feb 16, 2023Guadeloupe U17(home)4-0CONCACAF U17
Tajikistan U17
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 15, 2026Japan U17(away)0-5AFC U17 Asian Cup
May 12, 2026Saudi Arabia U17(away)5-5AFC U17 Asian Cup
May 9, 2026Myanmar U17(away)1-0AFC U17 Asian Cup
May 5, 2026Thailand U17(home)2-0AFC U17 Asian Cup
Nov 11, 2025Burkina Faso U17(away)0-2World Cup - U17

How many goals should we expect?

Cuba U17 score 2.1 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 7; Tajikistan U17 score 3.7 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Cuba U172.12.313/75/7
Tajikistan U173.72.047/1510/15

Over the last 7 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cuba U17 vs Tajikistan U17?
The Footlab model makes Cuba U17 the favourite at 42%, against 22% for a draw and 36% for Tajikistan U17.
Where and when is Cuba U17 vs Tajikistan U17 played?
Cuba U17 vs Tajikistan U17 is played on November 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Panamericano, in the World Cup - U17.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Cuba U17 and Tajikistan U17

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