Match

Japan U17 vs Colombia U17: prediction and stats

World Cup - U17Group Stage - 1Kick-off on November 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)ASPIRE Academy Pitch 7, Doha

Japan U17Colombia U17

The Footlab model makes Japan U17 the favourite at 51%, against 21% for a draw and 27% for Colombia U17. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Japan U17 vs Colombia U17?

A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Japan U17 (1,686) and Colombia U17 (1,614).

Japan U17 win51 %
Draw21 %
Colombia U17 win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Japan U17 have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Colombia U17 have 7, 5 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Japan U17
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 22, 2026China PR U17(away)3-2AFC U17 Asian Cup
May 19, 2026Uzbekistan U17(home)1-1AFC U17 Asian Cup
May 15, 2026Tajikistan U17(home)5-0AFC U17 Asian Cup
May 12, 2026Indonesia U17(home)3-1AFC U17 Asian Cup
May 9, 2026China PR U17(away)2-1AFC U17 Asian Cup
Colombia U17
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 19, 2026Argentina U17(away)4-0CONMEBOL - U17
Apr 16, 2026Brazil U17(away)3-0CONMEBOL - U17
Apr 12, 2026Paraguay U17(away)2-0CONMEBOL - U17
Apr 9, 2026Uruguay U17(home)0-2CONMEBOL - U17
Apr 7, 2026Chile U17(home)1-0CONMEBOL - U17

How many goals should we expect?

Japan U17 score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Colombia U17 score 1.3 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Japan U172.11.1310/1511/15
Colombia U171.30.684/153/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Japan U17 vs Colombia U17?
The Footlab model makes Japan U17 the favourite at 51%, against 21% for a draw and 27% for Colombia U17.
Where and when is Japan U17 vs Colombia U17 played?
Japan U17 vs Colombia U17 is played on November 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at ASPIRE Academy Pitch 7, in the World Cup - U17.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Japan U17 and Colombia U17

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