Tajikistan U17 vs Croatia U17: prediction and stats
World Cup - U17Group Stage - 2Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Bishan Stadium, Singapore
The Footlab model makes Croatia U17 the favourite at 46%, against 22% for a draw and 32% for Tajikistan U17. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tajikistan U17 vs Croatia U17?
Croatia U17 starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,632 vs 1,528).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tajikistan U17 have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Croatia U17 have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | Japan U17(away) | 0-5 | AFC U17 Asian Cup |
| May 12, 2026 | Saudi Arabia U17(away) | 5-5 | AFC U17 Asian Cup |
| May 9, 2026 | Myanmar U17(away) | 1-0 | AFC U17 Asian Cup |
| May 5, 2026 | Thailand U17(home) | 2-0 | AFC U17 Asian Cup |
| Nov 11, 2025 | Burkina Faso U17(away) | 0-2 | World Cup - U17 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Spain U17(away) | 3-2 | UEFA U17 Championship |
| May 28, 2026 | Estonia U17(away) | 3-1 | UEFA U17 Championship |
| May 25, 2026 | Belgium U17(home) | 0-2 | UEFA U17 Championship |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Poland U17(away) | 1-1 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Republic of Ireland U17(away) | 2-0 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
How many goals should we expect?
Tajikistan U17 score 3.7 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Croatia U17 score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tajikistan U17 | 3.7 | 2.0 | 4 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Croatia U17 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tajikistan U17 vs Croatia U17?
- The Footlab model makes Croatia U17 the favourite at 46%, against 22% for a draw and 32% for Tajikistan U17.
- Where and when is Tajikistan U17 vs Croatia U17 played?
- Tajikistan U17 vs Croatia U17 is played on November 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Bishan Stadium, in the World Cup - U17.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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