Czarni Połaniec vs Naprzód: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 9Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion MKS Czarni Połaniec, Połaniec
The Footlab model makes Czarni Połaniec the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Naprzód. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Czarni Połaniec vs Naprzód?
A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate Czarni Połaniec (1,771) and Naprzód (1,688).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Czarni Połaniec have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Naprzód have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Korona Kielce II(away) | 4-3 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Star Starachowice(away) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Podlasie Biała Podlaska(home) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | KS Wieczysta Krakow II(home) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Chełmianka Chełm(home) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Moravia Morawica(away) | 2-4 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice(away) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Korona Kielce II(home) | 5-4 | III Liga - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Czarni Połaniec win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Naprzód win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2026 | Naprzód 0-1 Czarni Połaniec | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Czarni Połaniec 2-1 Naprzód | III Liga - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Naprzód vs Czarni Połaniec on Mar 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Czarni Połaniec score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Naprzód score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Czarni Połaniec | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Naprzód | 1.5 | 1.8 | 2 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Czarni Połaniec sit 5th in III Liga - Group 4 (9 points from 5 matches) and Naprzód sit 12th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Czarni Połaniec | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 9 |
| 12 | Naprzód | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Czarni Połaniec vs Naprzód?
- The Footlab model makes Czarni Połaniec the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Naprzód.
- Where and when is Czarni Połaniec vs Naprzód played?
- Czarni Połaniec vs Naprzód is played on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion MKS Czarni Połaniec, in the III Liga - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 19, 2026KSZO 1929vsChełmianka Chełm
- Sep 19, 2026Siarka TarnobrzegvsPodlasie Biała Podlaska
- Sep 19, 2026Hetman ZamoscvsWisła Kraków II
- Sep 19, 2026Wisłoka DębicavsKorona Kielce II
- Sep 19, 2026JarosławvsPogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
- Sep 19, 2026Sokół Kolb.vsWiślanie Jaśkowice
- Sep 19, 2026KS Wieczysta Krakow IIvsStar Starachowice
- Sep 19, 2026Busko-ZdrojvsMoravia Morawica