Match

Czarni Połaniec vs Naprzód: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 9Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion MKS Czarni Połaniec, Połaniec

Czarni PołaniecNaprzód

The Footlab model makes Czarni Połaniec the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Naprzód. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Czarni Połaniec vs Naprzód?

A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate Czarni Połaniec (1,771) and Naprzód (1,688).

Czarni Połaniec win57 %
Draw23 %
Naprzód win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Czarni Połaniec have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Naprzód have 5, 1 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Czarni Połaniec
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Korona Kielce II(away)4-3III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026Star Starachowice(away)0-2III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026Podlasie Biała Podlaska(home)0-2III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026Siarka Tarnobrzeg(away)1-0III Liga - Group 4
Aug 2, 2026KS Wieczysta Krakow II(home)3-1III Liga - Group 4
Naprzód
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Chełmianka Chełm(home)0-2III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026Moravia Morawica(away)2-4III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów(home)2-1III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026Wiślanie Jaśkowice(away)0-2III Liga - Group 4
Aug 1, 2026Korona Kielce II(home)5-4III Liga - Group 4

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Czarni Połaniec win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Naprzód win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 25, 2026Naprzód 0-1 Czarni PołaniecIII Liga - Group 4
Aug 2, 2025Czarni Połaniec 2-1 NaprzódIII Liga - Group 4

Last archived meeting: Naprzód vs Czarni Połaniec on Mar 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Czarni Połaniec score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Naprzód score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Czarni Połaniec1.51.7211/159/15
Naprzód1.51.827/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Czarni Połaniec sit 5th in III Liga - Group 4 (9 points from 5 matches) and Naprzód sit 12th (6 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Czarni Połaniec5302889
12Naprzód52039136

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Czarni Połaniec vs Naprzód?
The Footlab model makes Czarni Połaniec the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Naprzód.
Where and when is Czarni Połaniec vs Naprzód played?
Czarni Połaniec vs Naprzód is played on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion MKS Czarni Połaniec, in the III Liga - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Czarni Połaniec and Naprzód

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