Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 9Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion OSiR Wisła, Tarnobrzeg
The Footlab model makes Podlasie Biała Podlaska the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Siarka Tarnobrzeg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska?
A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Siarka Tarnobrzeg (1,717) and Podlasie Biała Podlaska (1,795).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Siarka Tarnobrzeg have 1 wins, 5 draws and 9 defeats; Podlasie Biała Podlaska have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sokół Kolb.(away) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Jarosław(home) | 1-3 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Busko-Zdroj(away) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Czarni Połaniec(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Hetman Zamosc(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Jarosław(away) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Busko-Zdroj(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Czarni Połaniec(away) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Hetman Zamosc(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | KSZO 1929(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Siarka Tarnobrzeg win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Podlasie Biała Podlaska win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Podlasie Biała Podlaska 2-2 Siarka Tarnobrzeg | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1-2 Podlasie Biała Podlaska | III Liga - Group 4 |
| May 31, 2025 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg 2-2 Podlasie Biała Podlaska | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Podlasie Biała Podlaska 0-1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Podlasie Biała Podlaska 1-4 Siarka Tarnobrzeg | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg 0-2 Podlasie Biała Podlaska | III Liga - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Podlasie Biała Podlaska vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Siarka Tarnobrzeg score 1.4 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Podlasie Biała Podlaska score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Podlasie Biała Podlaska | 1.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Siarka Tarnobrzeg sit 16th in III Liga - Group 4 (4 points from 5 matches) and Podlasie Biała Podlaska sit 8th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Podlasie Biała Podlaska | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
| 16 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska?
- The Footlab model makes Podlasie Biała Podlaska the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Siarka Tarnobrzeg.
- Where and when is Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska played?
- Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska is played on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion OSiR Wisła, in the III Liga - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 19, 2026KSZO 1929vsChełmianka Chełm
- Sep 19, 2026Hetman ZamoscvsWisła Kraków II
- Sep 19, 2026Wisłoka DębicavsKorona Kielce II
- Sep 19, 2026Czarni PołaniecvsNaprzód
- Sep 19, 2026JarosławvsPogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
- Sep 19, 2026Sokół Kolb.vsWiślanie Jaśkowice
- Sep 19, 2026KS Wieczysta Krakow IIvsStar Starachowice
- Sep 19, 2026Busko-ZdrojvsMoravia Morawica