Hetman Zamosc vs Wisła Kraków II: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 9Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion OSiR w Zamościu, Zamość
The Footlab model makes Wisła Kraków II the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Hetman Zamosc. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hetman Zamosc vs Wisła Kraków II?
Wisła Kraków II starts as the favourite with a 277-point Elo edge (1,799 vs 1,523).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hetman Zamosc have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Wisła Kraków II have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Korona Kielce II(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Star Starachowice(home) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Podlasie Biała Podlaska(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Moravia Morawica(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Korona Kielce II(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Star Starachowice(home) | 4-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Hetman Zamosc score 1.3 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Wisła Kraków II score 1.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hetman Zamosc | 1.3 | 2.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Wisła Kraków II | 1.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hetman Zamosc sit 10th in III Liga - Group 4 (6 points from 5 matches) and Wisła Kraków II sit 4th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wisła Kraków II | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 10 |
| 10 | Hetman Zamosc | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hetman Zamosc vs Wisła Kraków II?
- The Footlab model makes Wisła Kraków II the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Hetman Zamosc.
- Where and when is Hetman Zamosc vs Wisła Kraków II played?
- Hetman Zamosc vs Wisła Kraków II is played on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion OSiR w Zamościu, in the III Liga - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 19, 2026KSZO 1929vsChełmianka Chełm
- Sep 19, 2026Siarka TarnobrzegvsPodlasie Biała Podlaska
- Sep 19, 2026Wisłoka DębicavsKorona Kielce II
- Sep 19, 2026Czarni PołaniecvsNaprzód
- Sep 19, 2026JarosławvsPogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
- Sep 19, 2026Sokół Kolb.vsWiślanie Jaśkowice
- Sep 19, 2026KS Wieczysta Krakow IIvsStar Starachowice
- Sep 19, 2026Busko-ZdrojvsMoravia Morawica