KSZO 1929 vs Chełmianka Chełm: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 9Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Miejski Stadion Sportowy, Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski
The Footlab model makes KSZO 1929 the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Chełmianka Chełm. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win KSZO 1929 vs Chełmianka Chełm?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate KSZO 1929 (1,895) and Chełmianka Chełm (1,926).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, KSZO 1929 have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Chełmianka Chełm have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Korona Kielce II(home) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Star Starachowice(away) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Podlasie Biała Podlaska(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Naprzód(away) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Wisłoka Dębica(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Moravia Morawica(away) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sokół Kolb.(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 KSZO 1929 win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Chełmianka Chełm win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2026 | Chełmianka Chełm 1-0 KSZO 1929 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Oct 25, 2025 | KSZO 1929 1-3 Chełmianka Chełm | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Apr 26, 2025 | KSZO 1929 3-0 Chełmianka Chełm | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Chełmianka Chełm 4-1 KSZO 1929 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Feb 23, 2024 | KSZO 1929 2-0 Chełmianka Chełm | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 24, 2023 | KSZO 1929 0-3 Chełmianka Chełm | III Liga - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Chełmianka Chełm vs KSZO 1929 on May 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
KSZO 1929 score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Chełmianka Chełm score 2.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KSZO 1929 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Chełmianka Chełm | 2.1 | 0.9 | 8 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
KSZO 1929 sit 3rd in III Liga - Group 4 (11 points from 5 matches) and Chełmianka Chełm sit 1st (15 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chełmianka Chełm | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 15 |
| 3 | KSZO 1929 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for KSZO 1929 vs Chełmianka Chełm?
- The Footlab model makes KSZO 1929 the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Chełmianka Chełm.
- Where and when is KSZO 1929 vs Chełmianka Chełm played?
- KSZO 1929 vs Chełmianka Chełm is played on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Miejski Stadion Sportowy, in the III Liga - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 19, 2026Siarka TarnobrzegvsPodlasie Biała Podlaska
- Sep 19, 2026Hetman ZamoscvsWisła Kraków II
- Sep 19, 2026Wisłoka DębicavsKorona Kielce II
- Sep 19, 2026Czarni PołaniecvsNaprzód
- Sep 19, 2026JarosławvsPogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
- Sep 19, 2026Sokół Kolb.vsWiślanie Jaśkowice
- Sep 19, 2026KS Wieczysta Krakow IIvsStar Starachowice
- Sep 19, 2026Busko-ZdrojvsMoravia Morawica