Match

KSZO 1929 vs Chełmianka Chełm: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 9Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Miejski Stadion Sportowy, Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski

KSZO 1929Chełmianka Chełm

The Footlab model makes KSZO 1929 the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Chełmianka Chełm. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win KSZO 1929 vs Chełmianka Chełm?

A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate KSZO 1929 (1,895) and Chełmianka Chełm (1,926).

KSZO 1929 win39 %
Draw28 %
Chełmianka Chełm win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, KSZO 1929 have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Chełmianka Chełm have 12, 2 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

KSZO 1929
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów(home)1-0III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026Wiślanie Jaśkowice(away)2-2III Liga - Group 4
Aug 14, 2026Korona Kielce II(home)3-2III Liga - Group 4
Aug 9, 2026Star Starachowice(away)0-0III Liga - Group 4
Aug 2, 2026Podlasie Biała Podlaska(home)1-0III Liga - Group 4
Chełmianka Chełm
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Naprzód(away)2-0III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026Wisłoka Dębica(home)2-1III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026Moravia Morawica(away)3-0III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026Sokół Kolb.(home)2-0III Liga - Group 4
Aug 1, 2026Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów(away)1-0III Liga - Group 4

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 KSZO 1929 win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Chełmianka Chełm win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 13, 2026Chełmianka Chełm 1-0 KSZO 1929III Liga - Group 4
Oct 25, 2025KSZO 1929 1-3 Chełmianka ChełmIII Liga - Group 4
Apr 26, 2025KSZO 1929 3-0 Chełmianka ChełmIII Liga - Group 4
Sep 28, 2024Chełmianka Chełm 4-1 KSZO 1929III Liga - Group 4
Feb 23, 2024KSZO 1929 2-0 Chełmianka ChełmFriendlies Clubs
Nov 24, 2023KSZO 1929 0-3 Chełmianka ChełmIII Liga - Group 4

Last archived meeting: Chełmianka Chełm vs KSZO 1929 on May 13, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

KSZO 1929 score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Chełmianka Chełm score 2.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
KSZO 19291.91.148/158/15
Chełmianka Chełm2.10.987/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

KSZO 1929 sit 3rd in III Liga - Group 4 (11 points from 5 matches) and Chełmianka Chełm sit 1st (15 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Chełmianka Chełm550010115
3KSZO 192953207411

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for KSZO 1929 vs Chełmianka Chełm?
The Footlab model makes KSZO 1929 the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Chełmianka Chełm.
Where and when is KSZO 1929 vs Chełmianka Chełm played?
KSZO 1929 vs Chełmianka Chełm is played on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Miejski Stadion Sportowy, in the III Liga - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: KSZO 1929 and Chełmianka Chełm

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