Daejeon Citizen vs Jeonbuk Motors: prediction and stats
K League 1Regular Season - 31Kick-off on October 9, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC)Daejeon World Cup Stadium, Daejeon
The Footlab model makes Daejeon Citizen the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Jeonbuk Motors. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Daejeon Citizen vs Jeonbuk Motors?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Daejeon Citizen (1,799) and Jeonbuk Motors (1,849).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Daejeon Citizen have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Jeonbuk Motors have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Ulsan Hyundai FC(home) | 2-1 | K League 1 |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gangwon FC(home) | 3-0 | K League 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Asan Mugunghwa(away) | 3-2 | FA Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Seoul(away) | 2-4 | K League 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Anyang(away) | 2-1 | K League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC(away) | 0-0 | K League 1 |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ulsan Hyundai FC(home) | 1-0 | K League 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Dangjin Citizen(home) | 2-2 | FA Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Bucheon FC 1995(away) | 2-3 | K League 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Jeju United FC(home) | 1-3 | K League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Daejeon Citizen win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Jeonbuk Motors win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 21, 2026 | Jeonbuk Motors 0-0 Daejeon Citizen | K League 1 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Daejeon Citizen 0-1 Jeonbuk Motors | K League 1 |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Jeonbuk Motors 3-1 Daejeon Citizen | K League 1 |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Jeonbuk Motors 1-0 Daejeon Citizen | K League 1 |
| May 14, 2025 | Daejeon Citizen 2-3 Jeonbuk Motors | FA Cup |
| May 6, 2025 | Jeonbuk Motors 1-1 Daejeon Citizen | K League 1 |
Last archived meeting: Jeonbuk Motors vs Daejeon Citizen on Jul 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Daejeon Citizen score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Jeonbuk Motors score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daejeon Citizen | 1.4 | 1.4 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Jeonbuk Motors | 1.2 | 0.9 | 8 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Daejeon Citizen sit 9th in K League 1 (32 points from 25 matches) and Jeonbuk Motors sit 2nd (38 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Jeonbuk Motors | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 31 | 22 | 38 |
| 9 | Daejeon Citizen | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 34 | 29 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Daejeon Citizen vs Jeonbuk Motors?
- The Footlab model makes Daejeon Citizen the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Jeonbuk Motors.
- Where and when is Daejeon Citizen vs Jeonbuk Motors played?
- Daejeon Citizen vs Jeonbuk Motors is played on October 9, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC) at Daejeon World Cup Stadium, in the K League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.