Incheon United vs Pohang Steelers: prediction and stats
K League 1Regular Season - 31Kick-off on October 9, 2026 at 07:30 AM (UTC)Sungui Arena Park, Incheon
The Footlab model makes Incheon United the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Pohang Steelers. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Incheon United vs Pohang Steelers?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Incheon United (1,752) and Pohang Steelers (1,750).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Incheon United have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Pohang Steelers have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | FC Anyang(away) | 1-2 | K League 1 |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gwangju FC(away) | 1-0 | K League 1 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC(home) | 1-1 | K League 1 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Jeju United FC(away) | 3-3 | K League 1 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Gimpo Citizen(away) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Jeju United FC(away) | 2-1 | K League 1 |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bucheon FC 1995(away) | 0-3 | K League 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Jinju Citizen(home) | 3-1 | FA Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gwangju FC(away) | 2-1 | K League 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ulsan Hyundai FC(home) | 0-2 | K League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Incheon United win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Pohang Steelers win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2026 | Incheon United 0-1 Pohang Steelers | K League 1 |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Pohang Steelers 1-1 Incheon United | K League 1 |
| Sep 27, 2024 | Pohang Steelers 1-0 Incheon United | K League 1 |
| Jun 23, 2024 | Incheon United 1-3 Pohang Steelers | K League 1 |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Pohang Steelers 0-0 Incheon United | K League 1 |
| Oct 20, 2023 | Pohang Steelers 1-1 Incheon United | K League 1 |
Last archived meeting: Incheon United vs Pohang Steelers on May 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Incheon United score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Pohang Steelers score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Incheon United | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Pohang Steelers | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Incheon United sit 8th in K League 1 (33 points from 24 matches) and Pohang Steelers sit 6th (34 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Pohang Steelers | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 24 | 29 | 34 |
| 8 | Incheon United | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 27 | 33 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Incheon United vs Pohang Steelers?
- The Footlab model makes Incheon United the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Pohang Steelers.
- Where and when is Incheon United vs Pohang Steelers played?
- Incheon United vs Pohang Steelers is played on October 9, 2026 at 07:30 AM (UTC) at Sungui Arena Park, in the K League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.